Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $9,329,804.29 - $10,992,090.22 | $10,301,198.31 |
| Multi-Stage | $1,955,186.60 - $2,143,135.70 | $2,047,421.01 |
| Blended Fair Value | $6,174,309.66 | |
| Current Price | $1,107,000.00 | |
| Upside | 457.75% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 73.06% | 16.25% | 2,527.29 | 1,067.23 | 747.06 | 640.85 | 367.88 | 162.81 | 10.45 | 0.00 | 336.38 | 12.80 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 136.81% | 42.86% | 16.57% | 74.20% | 125.95% | 1,458.66% | 0.00% | -100.00% | 2,528.14% | -97.72% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 0.41% | 0.52% | 0.76% | 1.24% | 0.91% | 0.80% | 0.03% | 0.00% | 0.72% | 0.03% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 2,618,963.95 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 223,787.69 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 2,395,176.26 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 523,792.79 | 327,370.49 | 196,422.30 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 2,395,176.26 | 2,395,176.26 | 2,395,176.26 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -523,792.79 | -327,370.49 | -196,422.30 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 1,871,383.47 | 2,067,805.77 | 2,198,753.96 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 47.38 | 47.38 | 47.38 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 39,494.20 | 43,639.56 | 46,403.12 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 4,722.88 | 4,722.88 | 4,722.88 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 39,494.20 | 43,639.56 | 46,403.12 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 44,217.08 | 48,362.43 | 51,126.00 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $9,329,804.29 | $10,301,198.31 | $10,992,090.22 |
| Upside / Downside | 742.80% | 830.55% | 892.96% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 2,618,963.95 | 2,789,196.60 | 2,970,494.38 | 3,163,576.52 | 3,369,208.99 | 3,588,207.57 | 3,695,853.80 |
| Payout Ratio | 8.54% | 24.84% | 41.13% | 57.42% | 73.71% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 223,787.69 | 692,722.50 | 1,221,673.33 | 1,816,461.02 | 2,483,409.54 | 3,229,386.82 | 3,418,664.77 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 5.88% | 5.88% | 5.88% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 648,131.86 | 654,275.29 | 660,418.72 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 1,069,456.81 | 1,089,826.96 | 1,110,389.28 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 1,487,778.64 | 1,530,487.42 | 1,574,005.82 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 1,903,113.38 | 1,976,301.75 | 2,051,581.06 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 2,315,476.96 | 2,427,315.37 | 2,543,434.09 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 85,220,115.22 | 89,336,278.65 | 93,609,977.34 |
| Equity Value (M) | 92,644,072.88 | 97,014,485.44 | 101,549,806.31 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 47.38 | 47.38 | 47.38 |
| Fair Value | $1,955,186.60 | $2,047,421.01 | $2,143,135.70 |
| Upside / Downside | 76.62% | 84.95% | 93.60% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIGI | Selective Insurance Group, Inc. | 1.77% | $1.48 | 22.19% |
| FUSB | First US Bancshares, Inc. | 1.76% | $0.25 | 26.72% |
| R | Ryder System, Inc. | 1.76% | $3.41 | 28.29% |
| RGA | Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated | 1.75% | $3.55 | 27.34% |
| TFG.AS | Tetragon Financial Group Limited | 1.75% | $0.30 | 3.32% |
| WFC | Wells Fargo & Company | 1.75% | $1.67 | 25.46% |
| HCKT | The Hackett Group, Inc. | 1.74% | $0.34 | 85.97% |
| LEG | Leggett & Platt, Incorporated | 1.74% | $0.19 | 11.94% |
| RPRX | Royalty Pharma plc | 1.74% | $0.67 | 49.36% |
| SFBC | Sound Financial Bancorp, Inc. | 1.74% | $0.76 | 37.96% |
| SXT | Sensient Technologies Corporation | 1.74% | $1.63 | 50.00% |
| MKTX | MarketAxess Holdings Inc. | 1.73% | $3.09 | 52.31% |
| PRG | PROG Holdings, Inc. | 1.73% | $0.51 | 12.57% |
| STEL | Stellar Bancorp, Inc. | 1.73% | $0.53 | 26.88% |
| UFCS | United Fire Group, Inc. | 1.73% | $0.62 | 14.63% |
| AMAL | Amalgamated Financial Corp. | 1.72% | $0.55 | 16.32% |
| BK | The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation | 1.72% | $2.01 | 27.06% |
| COWN | Cowen Inc. | 1.72% | $0.67 | 33.32% |
| DG | Dollar General Corporation | 1.72% | $2.35 | 40.66% |
| AMKR | Amkor Technology, Inc. | 1.71% | $0.73 | 59.04% |
| DTF | DTF Tax-Free Income 2028 Term Fund Inc. | 1.71% | $0.20 | 80.42% |
| ERIE | Erie Indemnity Company | 1.71% | $4.75 | 38.59% |
| FLXS | Flexsteel Industries, Inc. | 1.71% | $0.68 | 17.01% |
| MTCH | Match Group, Inc. | 1.71% | $0.54 | 25.07% |
| LBRT | Liberty Energy Inc. | 1.70% | $0.32 | 28.43% |
| OVBC | Ohio Valley Banc Corp. | 1.70% | $0.67 | 28.36% |
| WTFC | Wintrust Financial Corporation | 1.70% | $2.43 | 20.92% |
| BANF | BancFirst Corporation | 1.69% | $1.80 | 25.72% |
| BDL | Flanigan's Enterprises, Inc. | 1.69% | $0.50 | 21.50% |
| CDHAX | Calvert International Responsible Idx A | 1.69% | $0.64 | 41.92% |
| CINR | Sisecam Resources LP | 1.69% | $0.34 | 19.21% |
| EXPO | Exponent, Inc. | 1.69% | $1.18 | 58.07% |
| GD | General Dynamics Corporation | 1.69% | $5.80 | 37.41% |
| HQI | HireQuest, Inc. | 1.69% | $0.18 | 36.36% |
| OTF | Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. | 1.69% | $0.24 | 9.20% |
| PHIN | PHINIA Inc. | 1.68% | $1.09 | 47.78% |
| PTRS | Partners Bancorp | 1.68% | $0.12 | 13.62% |
| RNGR | Ranger Energy Services, Inc. | 1.67% | $0.24 | 34.90% |
| HQH | Abrdn Healthcare Investors | 1.66% | $0.31 | 6.95% |
| JILL | J.Jill, Inc. | 1.66% | $0.23 | 10.45% |
| PSH.AS | Pershing Square Holdings, Ltd. | 1.65% | $0.85 | 6.48% |
| SKT | Tanger Inc. | 1.65% | $0.55 | 58.16% |
| USCB | USCB Financial Holdings, Inc. | 1.64% | $0.30 | 18.70% |
| BOTJ | Bank of the James Financial Group, Inc. | 1.62% | $0.30 | 26.41% |
| RS | Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co. | 1.62% | $4.78 | 34.66% |
| SCI | Service Corporation International | 1.62% | $1.25 | 33.57% |
| SMLP | Summit Midstream Partners, LP | 1.62% | $0.59 | 6.02% |
| TKR | The Timken Company | 1.62% | $1.40 | 32.90% |
| TRINL | Trinity Capital Inc. - 7.00% No | 1.62% | $0.41 | 20.50% |
| CARR | Carrier Global Corporation | 1.61% | $0.86 | 18.56% |