Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Rosseti, Public Joint Stock Company (RSTIP.ME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.94 - $86.00$31.27
Multi-Stage$12.55 - $13.77$13.15
Blended Fair Value$22.21
Current Price$1.28
Upside1,635.23%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2020201920182017201620152014201320122011
DPS54.52%40.06%0.090.020.010.050.050.010.010.020.010.01
YoY Growth--258.86%104.76%-74.74%-6.16%405.66%0.59%-41.77%135.03%-11.62%171.10%
Dividend Yield--5.90%2.10%1.25%6.32%5.44%1.76%1.98%3.27%0.38%0.37%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)88,104.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,976.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)83,128.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17,620.8011,013.006,607.80
Cash Retained (M)83,128.0083,128.0083,128.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-17,620.80-11,013.00-6,607.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)65,507.2072,115.0076,520.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)200,900.00200,900.00200,900.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.330.360.38
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.330.360.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.350.380.41
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate4.00%5.00%6.00%
Fair Value$15.94$31.27$86.00
Upside / Downside1,145.56%2,342.92%6,618.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)88,104.0092,504.9697,125.75101,977.36107,071.32112,419.73115,792.32
Payout Ratio5.65%22.52%39.39%56.26%73.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,976.0020,830.5438,256.5957,371.5978,300.80101,177.75107,107.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate4.00%5.00%6.00%
Year 1 PV (M)19,412.3419,599.0119,785.67
Year 2 PV (M)33,224.7033,866.7434,514.92
Year 3 PV (M)46,433.2547,785.6549,164.06
Year 4 PV (M)59,057.5961,362.1263,733.44
Year 5 PV (M)71,116.7674,602.3878,223.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,292,721.812,405,094.362,521,830.48
Equity Value (M)2,521,966.452,642,310.252,767,251.94
Shares Outstanding (M)200,900.00200,900.00200,900.00
Fair Value$12.55$13.15$13.77
Upside / Downside880.73%927.53%976.12%

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