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Norfolk Southern Corporation

ID: 0K8M.L SECTOR: Industrials INDUSTRY: General Transportation
305.09
+0.45 (0.15%)
Ref: 2026-04-20

Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $218.36 - $338.35 $271.29
Multi-Stage DDM $158.32 - $173.54 $165.78
Blended Fair Value $218.54
Stock Price$295.34

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS 5.4055.3935.3874.9534.1433.7413.5733.0122.4222.348
YoY % 0.22%0.11%8.76%19.54%10.75%4.71%18.62%24.38%3.14%0.24%
Yield 1.83%1.83%1.82%1.68%1.40%1.27%1.21%1.02%0.82%0.80%

CAGRValue
5 Year7.63%
10 Year8.72%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 1.72% to 3.72% 2.72%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $218.36 - $338.35 $271.29

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 2,873.00 2,873.00 2,873.00
(=) Cash Required 574.60 359.13 215.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share 10.22 11.18 11.82
LTM Dividend per Share 5.405 5.405 5.405
(=) Adjusted Dividend 15.629 16.588 17.227

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 2,873.00 2,951.133,031.383,113.813,198.493,285.47
Projected Dividends 1,215.00 737.781,242.871,774.872,334.902,956.92

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 699.79 706.67 713.55
Year 2 PV 1,070.99 1,092.16 1,113.52
Year 3 PV 1,389.49 1,430.87 1,473.07
Year 4 PV 1,660.66 1,726.93 1,795.17
Year 5 PV 1,910.63 2,006.41 2,106.00
TV PV 28,858.53 30,305.24 31,809.39
Equity Value 35,590.09 37,268.28 39,010.70
Fair Value $158.32 $165.78 $173.54

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ARDC ARDC 19.91% $2.65 77.10%
JGH JGH 19.71% $2.48 70.08%
BSL BSL 19.66% $2.65 95.83%
RGT RGT 19.58% $2.56 37.89%
AIKI AIKI 19.55% $0.70 10.85%
PFN PFN 19.43% $1.46 72.85%
JLS JLS 19.40% $3.53 84.31%
ACV ACV 19.28% $5.07 72.66%
BGB BGB 19.19% $2.26 86.72%
PHK PHK 19.11% $0.93 86.61%
DTW DTW 19.03% $4.08 87.19%
EMD EMD 18.84% $2.03 78.17%
SR-PA SR-PA 18.76% $4.54 98.60%
SRV SRV 18.74% $7.53 66.75%
CIK CIK 18.41% $0.52 82.82%
DHY DHY 18.39% $0.37 88.67%
MNR MNR 18.30% $2.06 89.28%
PFL PFL 18.22% $1.54 84.57%
EAD EAD 18.08% $1.23 52.27%
SPE SPE 18.03% $2.66 44.19%
AIF AIF 17.93% $2.66 60.44%
GAB GAB 17.77% $1.08 81.70%
HPF HPF 17.73% $2.86 78.50%
MPV MPV 17.65% $2.93 95.78%
GBAB GBAB 17.43% $2.59 74.37%
TEI TEI 17.42% $1.14 64.65%
ISD ISD 17.40% $2.52 96.64%
HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
DUKB DUKB 16.95% $4.19 65.28%
FGB FGB 16.75% $0.70 50.91%
RQI RQI 16.75% $1.92 87.08%
FPF FPF 16.57% $3.09 70.83%
EVV EVV 16.43% $1.63 64.70%
AIZN AIZN 16.41% $3.22 19.47%
NML NML 16.37% $1.40 40.22%
PGP PGP 16.31% $1.50 60.66%
CHW CHW 16.07% $1.20 66.54%
BGY BGY 15.99% $0.94 99.21%
GABBX GABBX 15.98% $2.85 40.22%
BDJ BDJ 15.90% $1.49 72.30%
DSL DSL 15.85% $1.78 54.50%
PDT PDT 15.76% $2.01 62.66%
TSQ TSQ 15.55% $0.79 70.58%
EOD EOD 15.39% $0.90 52.51%
LGI LGI 15.37% $2.68 82.52%
BSTZ BSTZ 15.35% $3.54 65.39%
FPI FPI 15.34% $1.48 93.00%