Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $391,607.31 - $2,104,591.66 | $770,206.28 |
| Multi-Stage | $293,409.29 - $321,678.76 | $307,280.47 |
| Blended Fair Value | $538,743.38 | |
| Current Price | $112,300.00 | |
| Upside | 379.74% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 15.89% | 6.21% | 2,763.97 | 5,287.89 | 10,122.58 | 4,174.12 | 1,473.13 | 1,322.25 | 983.90 | 796.34 | 809.89 | 1,513.74 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -47.73% | -47.76% | 142.51% | 183.35% | 11.41% | 34.39% | 23.55% | -1.67% | -46.50% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 2.29% | 3.80% | 7.04% | 2.69% | 0.56% | 2.04% | 1.00% | 0.83% | 1.03% | 2.60% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 297,183.37 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 57,516.08 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 239,667.30 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 59,436.67 | 37,147.92 | 22,288.75 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 239,667.30 | 239,667.30 | 239,667.30 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -59,436.67 | -37,147.92 | -22,288.75 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 180,230.62 | 202,519.38 | 217,378.55 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 27.74 | 27.74 | 27.74 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 6,496.08 | 7,299.44 | 7,835.01 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 2,073.06 | 2,073.06 | 2,073.06 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 6,496.08 | 7,299.44 | 7,835.01 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 8,569.15 | 9,372.50 | 9,908.08 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.49% | 6.49% | 6.49% |
| Growth Rate | 4.21% | 5.21% | 6.21% |
| Fair Value | $391,607.31 | $770,206.28 | $2,104,591.66 |
| Upside / Downside | 248.72% | 585.85% | 1,774.08% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 297,183.37 | 312,654.35 | 328,930.72 | 346,054.41 | 364,069.55 | 383,022.53 | 394,513.20 |
| Payout Ratio | 19.35% | 33.48% | 47.61% | 61.74% | 75.87% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 57,516.08 | 104,686.01 | 156,611.28 | 213,659.16 | 276,222.28 | 344,720.27 | 364,924.71 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.49% | 6.49% | 6.49% |
| Growth Rate | 4.21% | 5.21% | 6.21% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 97,375.11 | 98,309.56 | 99,244.01 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 135,500.73 | 138,113.84 | 140,751.91 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 171,948.90 | 176,946.82 | 182,040.67 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 206,773.98 | 214,826.10 | 223,111.13 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 240,028.77 | 251,768.99 | 263,964.17 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 7,288,866.69 | 7,645,377.77 | 8,015,704.41 |
| Equity Value (M) | 8,140,494.17 | 8,525,343.07 | 8,924,816.29 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 27.74 | 27.74 | 27.74 |
| Fair Value | $293,409.29 | $307,280.47 | $321,678.76 |
| Upside / Downside | 161.27% | 173.62% | 186.45% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAH | Sonic Automotive, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.31 | 35.28% |
| AIG-PA | American International Group, Inc. | 2.12% | $1.69 | 30.01% |
| LANC | Lancaster Colony Corporation | 2.11% | $3.82 | 61.80% |
| TDAC | Translational Development Acquisition Corp. | 2.10% | $0.22 | 79.86% |
| FAST | Fastenal Company | 2.09% | $0.85 | 79.50% |
| FDUS | Fidus Investment Corporation | 2.09% | $0.41 | 17.86% |
| IBOC | International Bancshares Corporation | 2.09% | $1.40 | 20.70% |
| SMRSX | ALPS/Smith Short Duration Bond Investor | 2.09% | $0.22 | 98.81% |
| SSSS | SuRo Capital Corp. | 2.09% | $0.20 | 8.46% |
| MLR | Miller Industries, Inc. | 2.08% | $0.78 | 30.00% |
| OACC | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences | 2.08% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| FCCO | First Community Corporation | 2.07% | $0.60 | 25.08% |
| GNTX | Gentex Corporation | 2.07% | $0.49 | 28.42% |
| OACCU | Oaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences Unit | 2.07% | $0.22 | 61.74% |
| DLB | Dolby Laboratories, Inc. | 2.06% | $1.31 | 49.64% |
| APOG | Apogee Enterprises, Inc. | 2.05% | $0.77 | 37.24% |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated | 2.05% | $1.08 | 32.74% |
| EWBC | East West Bancorp, Inc. | 2.05% | $2.36 | 25.97% |
| ALF | Centurion Acquisition Corp. | 2.04% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| ATO | Atmos Energy Corporation | 2.04% | $3.45 | 46.19% |
| OVLY | Oak Valley Bancorp | 2.04% | $0.61 | 29.73% |
| 0HYE.L | Cincinnati Financial Corporation | 2.03% | $3.28 | 24.36% |
| AOS | A. O. Smith Corporation | 2.03% | $1.39 | 36.68% |
| ACT | Enact Holdings, Inc. | 2.02% | $0.80 | 18.03% |
| ARKO | Arko Corp. | 2.02% | $0.09 | 55.86% |
| KFY | Korn Ferry | 2.02% | $1.34 | 26.97% |
| 0H68.L | Aflac Incorporated | 2.01% | $2.20 | 28.14% |
| LEN | Lennar Corporation | 2.01% | $2.10 | 25.46% |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corporation | 2.00% | $3.66 | 41.17% |
| RHLD | Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. | 2.00% | $3.74 | 22.61% |
| ALFUU | Centurion Acquisition Corp. Unit | 1.99% | $0.22 | 51.38% |
| GNTY | Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.97 | 30.69% |
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | 1.99% | $0.95 | 24.54% |
| QCOM | QUALCOMM Incorporated | 1.99% | $3.44 | 68.67% |
| THG | The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | 1.98% | $3.55 | 20.46% |
| CNMD | CONMED Corporation | 1.97% | $0.80 | 38.60% |
| FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovations, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 36.69% |
| FEIM | Frequency Electronics, Inc. | 1.97% | $1.00 | 46.25% |
| RPM | RPM International Inc. | 1.97% | $2.04 | 37.93% |
| BNJ | Brookfield Finance Inc. 4.50% P | 1.96% | $0.30 | 70.51% |
| MTG | MGIC Investment Corporation | 1.96% | $0.57 | 17.51% |
| CCS | Century Communities, Inc. | 1.95% | $1.15 | 16.06% |
| 0K6F.L | NetApp, Inc. | 1.94% | $2.07 | 35.51% |
| BLK | BlackRock, Inc. | 1.94% | $21.00 | 53.94% |
| FNB-PE | F.N.B. Corporation | 1.94% | $0.48 | 34.55% |
| 0L4F.L | Sealed Air Corporation | 1.93% | $0.80 | 30.13% |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. | 1.93% | $0.51 | 42.14% |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings Inc. | 1.93% | $0.80 | 26.98% |
| FSFG | First Savings Financial Group, Inc. | 1.92% | $0.61 | 23.93% |
| GEN | Gen Digital Inc. | 1.92% | $0.50 | 54.91% |