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The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated

ID: CAKE SECTOR: Consumer Cyclical INDUSTRY: Restaurants
62.14
-0.54 (-0.86%)
Ref: 2026-04-20

Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $78.82 - $155.51 $107.79
Multi-Stage DDM $42.84 - $46.87 $44.82
Blended Fair Value $76.30
Stock Price$59.32

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS 1.0801.0831.0850.8380.0070.3601.3631.2171.0360.858
YoY % -0.32%-0.16%29.37%11,969.88%-98.07%-73.59%12.00%17.48%20.73%20.74%
Yield 1.82%1.83%1.83%1.41%0.01%0.61%2.30%2.05%1.75%1.45%

CAGRValue
5 Year24.57%
10 Year4.27%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 4.32% to 6.32% 5.32%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $78.82 - $155.51 $107.79

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 148.43 148.43 148.43
(=) Cash Required 29.69 18.55 11.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share 2.46 2.69 2.84
LTM Dividend per Share 1.080 1.080 1.080
(=) Adjusted Dividend 3.536 3.766 3.919

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 148.43 156.32164.64173.40182.63192.34
Projected Dividends 52.19 39.0867.5098.84133.32173.11

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 37.08 37.43 37.79
Year 2 PV 58.20 59.32 60.45
Year 3 PV 77.43 79.68 81.97
Year 4 PV 94.91 98.60 102.40
Year 5 PV 111.99 117.46 123.15
TV PV 1,691.52 1,774.16 1,860.01
Equity Value 2,071.13 2,166.66 2,265.76
Fair Value $42.84 $44.82 $46.87

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CIK CIK 18.41% $0.52 82.82%
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HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
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RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
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PDT PDT 15.76% $2.01 62.66%
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