Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $391,607.31 - $2,104,591.66 | $770,206.28 |
| Multi-Stage | $293,409.29 - $321,678.76 | $307,280.47 |
| Blended Fair Value | $538,743.38 | |
| Current Price | $112,300.00 | |
| Upside | 379.74% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 15.89% | 6.21% | 2,763.97 | 5,287.89 | 10,122.58 | 4,174.12 | 1,473.13 | 1,322.25 | 983.90 | 796.34 | 809.89 | 1,513.74 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -47.73% | -47.76% | 142.51% | 183.35% | 11.41% | 34.39% | 23.55% | -1.67% | -46.50% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 2.29% | 3.80% | 7.04% | 2.69% | 0.56% | 2.04% | 1.00% | 0.83% | 1.03% | 2.60% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 297,183.37 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 57,516.08 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 239,667.30 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 59,436.67 | 37,147.92 | 22,288.75 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 239,667.30 | 239,667.30 | 239,667.30 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -59,436.67 | -37,147.92 | -22,288.75 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 180,230.62 | 202,519.38 | 217,378.55 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 27.74 | 27.74 | 27.74 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 6,496.08 | 7,299.44 | 7,835.01 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 2,073.06 | 2,073.06 | 2,073.06 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 6,496.08 | 7,299.44 | 7,835.01 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 8,569.15 | 9,372.50 | 9,908.08 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.49% | 6.49% | 6.49% |
| Growth Rate | 4.21% | 5.21% | 6.21% |
| Fair Value | $391,607.31 | $770,206.28 | $2,104,591.66 |
| Upside / Downside | 248.72% | 585.85% | 1,774.08% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 297,183.37 | 312,654.35 | 328,930.72 | 346,054.41 | 364,069.55 | 383,022.53 | 394,513.20 |
| Payout Ratio | 19.35% | 33.48% | 47.61% | 61.74% | 75.87% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 57,516.08 | 104,686.01 | 156,611.28 | 213,659.16 | 276,222.28 | 344,720.27 | 364,924.71 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.49% | 6.49% | 6.49% |
| Growth Rate | 4.21% | 5.21% | 6.21% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 97,375.11 | 98,309.56 | 99,244.01 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 135,500.73 | 138,113.84 | 140,751.91 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 171,948.90 | 176,946.82 | 182,040.67 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 206,773.98 | 214,826.10 | 223,111.13 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 240,028.77 | 251,768.99 | 263,964.17 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 7,288,866.69 | 7,645,377.77 | 8,015,704.41 |
| Equity Value (M) | 8,140,494.17 | 8,525,343.07 | 8,924,816.29 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 27.74 | 27.74 | 27.74 |
| Fair Value | $293,409.29 | $307,280.47 | $321,678.76 |
| Upside / Downside | 161.27% | 173.62% | 186.45% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HWBK | Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. | 2.27% | $0.77 | 24.18% |
| UTMD | Utah Medical Products, Inc. | 2.27% | $1.28 | 35.35% |
| DKS | DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. | 2.26% | $4.52 | 38.61% |
| EML | The Eastern Company | 2.26% | $0.44 | 37.05% |
| SBCF | Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida | 2.26% | $0.71 | 43.09% |
| WMK | Weis Markets, Inc. | 2.26% | $1.45 | 35.88% |
| 0JYA.L | Marathon Petroleum Corporation | 2.25% | $3.72 | 74.60% |
| FSBC | Five Star Bancorp | 2.25% | $0.80 | 29.79% |
| IBM | International Business Machines Corporation | 2.25% | $6.56 | 78.75% |
| 0KYZ.L | SBA Communications Corporation | 2.24% | $4.32 | 54.40% |
| BPOP | Popular, Inc. | 2.24% | $2.82 | 24.06% |
| MFIN | Medallion Financial Corp. | 2.24% | $0.23 | 12.50% |
| MS | Morgan Stanley | 2.24% | $4.07 | 40.12% |
| FXNC | First National Corporation | 2.23% | $0.55 | 86.28% |
| BAC | Bank of America Corporation | 2.22% | $1.24 | 31.97% |
| SSB | SouthState Corporation | 2.22% | $2.09 | 30.58% |
| VLGEA | Village Super Market, Inc. | 2.22% | $0.77 | 20.42% |
| WWW | Wolverine World Wide, Inc. | 2.22% | $0.41 | 37.79% |
| CCBG | Capital City Bank Group, Inc. | 2.21% | $0.93 | 26.22% |
| CG | The Carlyle Group Inc. | 2.20% | $1.34 | 76.25% |
| NHI | National Health Investors, Inc. | 2.20% | $1.69 | 54.58% |
| VNO | Vornado Realty Trust | 2.20% | $0.73 | 15.58% |
| BANC | Banc of California, Inc. | 2.19% | $0.43 | 32.44% |
| EBTC | Enterprise Bancorp, Inc. | 2.19% | $0.87 | 26.66% |
| RHP | Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. | 2.19% | $2.09 | 57.31% |
| CDP | COPT Defense Properties | 2.18% | $0.60 | 45.15% |
| FDS | FactSet Research Systems Inc. | 2.18% | $6.20 | 39.64% |
| ISBA | Isabella Bank Corporation | 2.18% | $1.10 | 44.52% |
| WH | Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | 2.18% | $1.64 | 37.28% |
| EFSC | Enterprise Financial Services Corp | 2.17% | $1.17 | 22.34% |
| ETH | Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust | 2.17% | $0.64 | 34.57% |
| SEM | Select Medical Holdings Corporation | 2.17% | $0.32 | 36.19% |
| BFST | Business First Bancshares, Inc. | 2.16% | $0.56 | 20.21% |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | 2.16% | $0.48 | 26.89% |
| EHTH | eHealth, Inc. | 2.16% | $0.09 | 5.60% |
| TPL | Texas Pacific Land Corporation | 2.16% | $6.42 | 31.02% |
| CBSH | Commerce Bancshares, Inc. | 2.15% | $1.12 | 26.40% |
| COLM | Columbia Sportswear Company | 2.15% | $1.20 | 35.55% |
| HTH | Hilltop Holdings Inc. | 2.15% | $0.73 | 28.46% |
| NATH | Nathan's Famous, Inc. | 2.15% | $1.98 | 35.76% |
| RCKY | Rocky Brands, Inc. | 2.15% | $0.62 | 22.50% |
| BDX | Becton, Dickinson and Company | 2.14% | $4.17 | 71.28% |
| CI | Cigna Corporation | 2.14% | $5.96 | 26.01% |
| FBIZ | First Business Financial Services, Inc. | 2.14% | $1.15 | 18.19% |
| JBSS | John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. | 2.14% | $1.49 | 26.50% |
| JNPR | Juniper Networks, Inc. | 2.14% | $0.86 | 82.37% |
| POOL | Pool Corporation | 2.14% | $4.92 | 44.68% |
| CSCO | Cisco Systems, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.62 | 62.56% |
| CSTR | CapStar Financial Holdings, Inc. | 2.13% | $0.43 | 30.48% |
| HTLF | Heartland Financial USA, Inc. | 2.13% | $1.38 | 69.73% |