Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hangzhou Advance Gearbox Group Co., Ltd. (601177.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.99 - $25.52$17.04
Multi-Stage$9.43 - $10.32$9.86
Blended Fair Value$13.45
Current Price$18.35
Upside-26.68%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS45.74%-2.26%0.130.170.110.120.120.020.170.200.170.16
YoY Growth---23.12%59.75%-11.53%3.86%482.75%-88.58%-13.90%15.44%7.19%-0.50%
Dividend Yield--0.73%2.00%1.03%1.46%1.46%0.26%1.22%2.59%1.49%1.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)258.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)234.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)51.7932.3719.42
Cash Retained (M)234.34234.34234.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-51.79-32.37-19.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)182.54201.97214.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)404.44404.44404.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.450.500.53
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.450.500.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.510.560.59
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate4.84%5.84%6.84%
Fair Value$11.99$17.04$25.52
Upside / Downside-34.66%-7.12%39.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)258.96274.08290.09307.02324.95343.92354.24
Payout Ratio9.51%25.61%41.71%57.80%73.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.6370.19120.98177.47240.14309.53327.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate4.84%5.84%6.84%
Year 1 PV (M)63.6064.2064.81
Year 2 PV (M)99.33101.24103.16
Year 3 PV (M)132.03135.85139.73
Year 4 PV (M)161.89168.15174.60
Year 5 PV (M)189.07198.26207.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,167.873,321.863,481.78
Equity Value (M)3,813.793,989.564,171.89
Shares Outstanding (M)404.44404.44404.44
Fair Value$9.43$9.86$10.32
Upside / Downside-48.61%-46.24%-43.79%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 17 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
SAHSonic Automotive, Inc.2.13%$1.3135.28%
AIG-PAAmerican International Group, Inc.2.12%$1.6930.01%
LANCLancaster Colony Corporation2.11%$3.8261.80%
TDACTranslational Development Acquisition Corp.2.10%$0.2279.86%
FASTFastenal Company2.09%$0.8579.50%
FDUSFidus Investment Corporation2.09%$0.4117.86%
IBOCInternational Bancshares Corporation2.09%$1.4020.70%
SMRSXALPS/Smith Short Duration Bond Investor2.09%$0.2298.81%
SSSSSuRo Capital Corp.2.09%$0.208.46%
MLRMiller Industries, Inc.2.08%$0.7830.00%
OACCOaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences2.08%$0.2261.74%
FCCOFirst Community Corporation2.07%$0.6025.08%
GNTXGentex Corporation2.07%$0.4928.42%
OACCUOaktree Acquisition Corp. III Life Sciences Unit2.07%$0.2261.74%
DLBDolby Laboratories, Inc.2.06%$1.3149.64%
APOGApogee Enterprises, Inc.2.05%$0.7737.24%
CAKEThe Cheesecake Factory Incorporated2.05%$1.0832.74%
EWBCEast West Bancorp, Inc.2.05%$2.3625.97%
ALFCenturion Acquisition Corp.2.04%$0.2251.38%
ATOAtmos Energy Corporation2.04%$3.4546.19%
OVLYOak Valley Bancorp2.04%$0.6129.73%
0HYE.LCincinnati Financial Corporation2.03%$3.2824.36%
AOSA. O. Smith Corporation2.03%$1.3936.68%
ACTEnact Holdings, Inc.2.02%$0.8018.03%
ARKOArko Corp.2.02%$0.0955.86%
KFYKorn Ferry2.02%$1.3426.97%
0H68.LAflac Incorporated2.01%$2.2028.14%
LENLennar Corporation2.01%$2.1025.46%
AVYAvery Dennison Corporation2.00%$3.6641.17%
RHLDResolute Holdings Management, Inc.2.00%$3.7422.61%
ALFUUCenturion Acquisition Corp. Unit1.99%$0.2251.38%
GNTYGuaranty Bancshares, Inc.1.99%$0.9730.69%
NCNACCO Industries, Inc.1.99%$0.9524.54%
QCOMQUALCOMM Incorporated1.99%$3.4468.67%
THGThe Hanover Insurance Group, Inc.1.98%$3.5520.46%
CNMDCONMED Corporation1.97%$0.8038.60%
FBINFortune Brands Innovations, Inc.1.97%$1.0036.69%
FEIMFrequency Electronics, Inc.1.97%$1.0046.25%
RPMRPM International Inc.1.97%$2.0437.93%
BNJBrookfield Finance Inc. 4.50% P1.96%$0.3070.51%
MTGMGIC Investment Corporation1.96%$0.5717.51%
CCSCentury Communities, Inc.1.95%$1.1516.06%
0K6F.LNetApp, Inc.1.94%$2.0735.51%
BLKBlackRock, Inc.1.94%$21.0053.94%
FNB-PEF.N.B. Corporation1.94%$0.4834.55%
0L4F.LSealed Air Corporation1.93%$0.8030.13%
AEOAmerican Eagle Outfitters, Inc.1.93%$0.5142.14%
SLGNSilgan Holdings Inc.1.93%$0.8026.98%
FSFGFirst Savings Financial Group, Inc.1.92%$0.6123.93%
GENGen Digital Inc.1.92%$0.5054.91%