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First National Corporation

ID: FXNC SECTOR: Financial Services INDUSTRY: Banks - Regional
29.45
+0.90 (3.15%)
Ref: 2026-04-17
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Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $65.81 - $174.05 $99.28
Multi-Stage DDM $28.90 - $31.58 $30.22
Blended Fair Value $64.75
Stock Price$28.95

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS 0.6120.5790.5730.5280.4510.4110.3370.1870.1310.112
YoY % 5.70%1.14%8.36%17.28%9.57%22.05%79.82%43.46%17.07%20.82%
Yield 2.11%2.00%1.98%1.83%1.56%1.42%1.16%0.65%0.45%0.39%

CAGRValue
5 Year8.29%
10 Year20.82%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 5.50% to 7.50% 6.50%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $65.81 - $174.05 $99.28

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 17.70 17.70 17.70
(=) Cash Required 3.54 2.21 1.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share 1.57 1.72 1.82
LTM Dividend per Share 0.612 0.612 0.612
(=) Adjusted Dividend 2.183 2.330 2.429

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 17.70 18.8520.0821.3822.7724.25
Projected Dividends 5.52 4.718.2312.1916.6321.83

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 4.47 4.51 4.56
Year 2 PV 7.10 7.23 7.37
Year 3 PV 9.55 9.83 10.11
Year 4 PV 11.84 12.30 12.76
Year 5 PV 14.13 14.81 15.52
TV PV 213.42 223.73 234.43
Equity Value 260.51 272.41 284.75
Fair Value $28.90 $30.22 $31.58

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AIKI AIKI 19.55% $0.70 10.85%
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JLS JLS 19.40% $3.53 84.31%
ACV ACV 19.28% $5.07 72.66%
BGB BGB 19.19% $2.26 86.72%
PHK PHK 19.11% $0.93 86.61%
DTW DTW 19.03% $4.08 87.19%
EMD EMD 18.84% $2.03 78.17%
SR-PA SR-PA 18.76% $4.54 98.60%
SRV SRV 18.74% $7.53 66.75%
CIK CIK 18.41% $0.52 82.82%
DHY DHY 18.39% $0.37 88.67%
MNR MNR 18.30% $2.06 89.28%
PFL PFL 18.22% $1.54 84.57%
EAD EAD 18.08% $1.23 52.27%
SPE SPE 18.03% $2.66 44.19%
AIF AIF 17.93% $2.66 60.44%
GAB GAB 17.77% $1.08 81.70%
HPF HPF 17.73% $2.86 78.50%
MPV MPV 17.65% $2.93 95.78%
GBAB GBAB 17.43% $2.59 74.37%
TEI TEI 17.42% $1.14 64.65%
ISD ISD 17.40% $2.52 96.64%
HIX HIX 17.39% $0.73 96.11%
NXG NXG 17.31% $8.79 83.58%
HPI HPI 17.11% $2.79 76.40%
RCS RCS 17.08% $1.00 75.51%
DUKB DUKB 16.95% $4.19 65.28%
FGB FGB 16.75% $0.70 50.91%
RQI RQI 16.75% $1.92 87.08%
FPF FPF 16.57% $3.09 70.83%
EVV EVV 16.43% $1.63 64.70%
AIZN AIZN 16.41% $3.22 19.47%
NML NML 16.37% $1.40 40.22%
PGP PGP 16.31% $1.50 60.66%
CHW CHW 16.07% $1.20 66.54%
BGY BGY 15.99% $0.94 99.21%
GABBX GABBX 15.98% $2.85 40.22%
BDJ BDJ 15.90% $1.49 72.30%
DSL DSL 15.85% $1.78 54.50%
PDT PDT 15.76% $2.01 62.66%
TSQ TSQ 15.55% $0.79 70.58%
EOD EOD 15.39% $0.90 52.51%
LGI LGI 15.37% $2.68 82.52%
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FPI FPI 15.34% $1.48 93.00%