Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Kongsberg Gruppen ASA (KOG.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$170.12 - $402.91$250.87
Multi-Stage$123.26 - $134.49$128.77
Blended Fair Value$189.82
Current Price$390.85
Upside-51.43%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS40.62%14.64%2.800.733.091.622.560.510.510.510.581.26
YoY Growth--286.05%-76.50%90.53%-36.61%401.79%0.00%0.00%-11.98%-54.02%76.27%
Dividend Yield--0.91%0.49%3.65%2.31%6.52%1.95%1.92%1.52%2.50%5.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,052.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,990.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,062.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,410.40881.50528.90
Cash Retained (M)4,062.004,062.004,062.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,410.40-881.50-528.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,651.603,180.503,533.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)879.09879.09879.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.023.624.02
LTM Dividend per Share3.403.403.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.023.624.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.427.027.42
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$170.12$250.87$402.91
Upside / Downside-56.47%-35.81%3.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,052.007,510.387,998.558,518.469,072.169,661.859,951.71
Payout Ratio42.40%51.92%61.44%70.96%80.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,990.003,899.354,914.286,044.687,301.268,695.679,205.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,528.263,561.713,595.15
Year 2 PV (M)4,023.444,100.084,177.43
Year 3 PV (M)4,477.954,606.504,737.48
Year 4 PV (M)4,894.115,082.325,275.91
Year 5 PV (M)5,274.095,528.835,793.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)86,163.2990,325.0194,646.01
Equity Value (M)108,361.14113,204.44118,225.30
Shares Outstanding (M)879.09879.09879.09
Fair Value$123.26$128.77$134.49
Upside / Downside-68.46%-67.05%-65.59%

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