Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Kongsberg Gruppen ASA (KOG.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$380.71 - $1,595.36$960.37
Multi-Stage$191.27 - $209.15$200.05
Blended Fair Value$580.21
Current Price$390.85
Upside48.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS40.62%14.64%2.800.733.091.622.560.510.510.510.581.26
YoY Growth--286.05%-76.50%90.53%-36.61%401.79%0.00%0.00%-11.98%-54.02%76.27%
Dividend Yield--0.91%0.49%3.65%2.31%6.52%1.95%1.92%1.52%2.50%5.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,052.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,990.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,062.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,410.40881.50528.90
Cash Retained (M)4,062.004,062.004,062.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,410.40-881.50-528.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,651.603,180.503,533.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)879.09879.09879.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.023.624.02
LTM Dividend per Share3.403.403.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.023.624.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.427.027.42
WACC / Discount Rate7.28%7.28%7.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$380.71$960.37$1,595.36
Upside / Downside-2.59%145.71%308.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,052.007,510.387,998.558,518.469,072.169,661.859,951.71
Payout Ratio42.40%51.92%61.44%70.96%80.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,990.003,899.354,914.286,044.687,301.268,695.679,205.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.28%7.28%7.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,600.663,634.793,668.92
Year 2 PV (M)4,190.264,270.074,350.64
Year 3 PV (M)4,759.324,895.945,035.16
Year 4 PV (M)5,308.365,512.515,722.48
Year 5 PV (M)5,837.896,119.866,412.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)144,448.19151,425.09158,669.02
Equity Value (M)168,144.69175,858.27183,858.84
Shares Outstanding (M)879.09879.09879.09
Fair Value$191.27$200.05$209.15
Upside / Downside-51.06%-48.82%-46.49%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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