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Automatic Data Processing, Inc.

ID: ADP SECTOR: Industrials INDUSTRY: Staffing & Employment Services
200.47
+0.08 (0.04%)
Ref: 2026-04-17
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Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $417.64 - $1,082.39 $622.13
Multi-Stage DDM $146.89 - $160.56 $153.60
Blended Fair Value $387.87
Stock Price$188.52

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS 5.8705.2964.5793.9403.6803.3982.9552.4002.2102.055
YoY % 10.83%15.66%16.23%7.05%8.29%15.02%23.14%8.57%7.53%5.43%
Yield 3.11%2.81%2.43%2.09%1.95%1.80%1.57%1.27%1.17%1.09%

CAGRValue
5 Year11.55%
10 Year11.65%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 5.50% to 7.50% 6.50%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $417.64 - $1,082.39 $622.13

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 4,079.70 4,079.70 4,079.70
(=) Cash Required 815.94 509.96 305.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share 7.99 8.73 9.23
LTM Dividend per Share 5.870 5.870 5.870
(=) Adjusted Dividend 13.855 14.604 15.103

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 4,079.70 4,344.884,627.304,928.075,248.405,589.54
Projected Dividends 2,398.90 1,086.221,897.192,809.003,831.335,030.59

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 1,030.64 1,040.41 1,050.18
Year 2 PV 1,635.98 1,667.14 1,698.59
Year 3 PV 2,201.38 2,264.57 2,328.96
Year 4 PV 2,728.78 2,833.72 2,941.66
Year 5 PV 3,256.22 3,413.50 3,576.79
TV PV 49,182.55 51,558.09 54,024.54
Equity Value 60,035.54 62,777.42 65,620.72
Fair Value $146.89 $153.60 $160.56

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