Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Bangkok Bank Public Company Limited (BBL-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$284.24 - $465.57$365.09
Multi-Stage$332.08 - $363.34$347.42
Blended Fair Value$356.26
Current Price$139.00
Upside156.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.01%0.74%7.005.004.003.505.006.336.326.326.306.50
YoY Growth--39.99%25.04%14.26%-30.01%-21.07%0.22%0.09%0.28%-3.11%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.75%3.60%2.64%2.55%3.97%6.30%3.04%3.21%3.47%3.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)47,338.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16,222.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)31,115.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,467.665,917.293,550.37
Cash Retained (M)31,115.4631,115.4631,115.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,467.66-5,917.29-3,550.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)21,647.8025,198.1727,565.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,908.841,908.841,908.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share11.3413.2014.44
LTM Dividend per Share8.508.508.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share11.3413.2014.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend19.8421.7022.94
WACC / Discount Rate9.37%9.37%9.37%
Growth Rate2.23%3.23%4.23%
Fair Value$284.24$365.09$465.57
Upside / Downside104.49%162.66%234.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)47,338.3248,869.1950,449.5752,081.0653,765.3155,504.0357,169.15
Payout Ratio34.27%45.42%56.56%67.71%78.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16,222.8622,194.4428,535.3035,263.0542,396.1049,953.6252,881.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.37%9.37%9.37%
Growth Rate2.23%3.23%4.23%
Year 1 PV (M)20,096.4820,293.0520,489.63
Year 2 PV (M)23,395.5823,855.5124,319.91
Year 3 PV (M)26,178.6526,954.3827,745.29
Year 4 PV (M)28,498.9629,630.4730,795.35
Year 5 PV (M)30,405.0631,921.4733,497.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)505,320.08530,522.23556,720.03
Equity Value (M)633,894.80663,177.12693,568.01
Shares Outstanding (M)1,908.841,908.841,908.84
Fair Value$332.08$347.42$363.34
Upside / Downside138.91%149.95%161.40%

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