Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

CNMC Goldmine Holdings Limited (5TP.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: GoldSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.56 - $0.94$0.73
Multi-Stage$0.44 - $0.48$0.46
Blended Fair Value$0.60
Current Price$0.33
Upside80.27%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.51%8.09%0.010.000.010.000.000.000.000.000.010.00
YoY Growth--174.15%-49.08%0.00%-100.00%-52.63%91.20%-47.96%-35.08%23.55%32.68%
Dividend Yield--4.56%1.92%3.97%0.00%0.87%1.98%1.32%2.06%2.05%3.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)15.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.632.271.36
Cash Retained (M)15.8915.8915.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.63-2.27-1.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)12.2613.6214.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)405.29405.29405.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.030.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.030.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.040.040.04
WACC / Discount Rate12.24%12.24%12.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$0.56$0.73$0.94
Upside / Downside69.60%119.86%184.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18.1319.3120.5621.9023.3224.8425.58
Payout Ratio12.36%27.89%43.42%58.94%74.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.245.388.9312.9117.3722.3523.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate12.24%12.24%12.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4.754.804.84
Year 2 PV (M)6.957.097.22
Year 3 PV (M)8.879.139.39
Year 4 PV (M)10.5410.9411.36
Year 5 PV (M)11.9712.5513.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)137.10143.73150.60
Equity Value (M)180.19188.23196.56
Shares Outstanding (M)405.29405.29405.29
Fair Value$0.44$0.46$0.48
Upside / Downside34.66%40.67%46.89%

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