Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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YOUNGY Co.,Ltd. (002192.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.45 - $25.93$17.56
Multi-Stage$9.08 - $9.93$9.50
Blended Fair Value$13.53
Current Price$39.33
Upside-65.61%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS71.70%7.36%0.310.980.050.040.020.020.000.040.000.04
YoY Growth---68.51%1,752.04%46.57%71.75%1.66%819.67%-94.44%0.00%-100.00%-70.76%
Dividend Yield--1.03%2.43%0.07%0.03%0.04%0.12%0.01%0.14%0.00%0.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)176.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)175.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.2922.0613.23
Cash Retained (M)175.85175.85175.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.29-22.06-13.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)140.56153.79162.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)259.62259.62259.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.540.590.63
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.540.590.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.540.590.63
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate5.36%6.36%7.36%
Fair Value$12.45$17.56$25.93
Upside / Downside-68.36%-55.36%-34.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)176.44187.67199.61212.32225.83240.20247.41
Payout Ratio0.34%18.27%36.20%54.13%72.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.5934.2972.26114.94162.75216.18228.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate5.36%6.36%7.36%
Year 1 PV (M)30.8931.1831.47
Year 2 PV (M)58.6459.7660.89
Year 3 PV (M)84.0286.4388.89
Year 4 PV (M)107.17111.30115.54
Year 5 PV (M)128.23134.44140.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,948.602,042.842,140.70
Equity Value (M)2,357.552,465.942,578.37
Shares Outstanding (M)259.62259.62259.62
Fair Value$9.08$9.50$9.93
Upside / Downside-76.91%-75.85%-74.75%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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