DDM Analysis: 002192.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$12.45 - $25.93	$17.56
Multi-Stage	$9.08 - $9.93	$9.50
Blended Fair Value	$13.53
Current Price	$39.33
Upside	-65.61%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	71.70%	7.36%	0.31	0.98	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04
YoY Growth	-	-	-68.51%	1,752.04%	46.57%	71.75%	1.66%	819.67%	-94.44%	0.00%	-100.00%	-70.76%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.03%	2.43%	0.07%	0.03%	0.04%	0.12%	0.01%	0.14%	0.00%	0.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	176.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	0.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)	175.85

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	35.29	22.06	13.23
Cash Retained (M)	175.85	175.85	175.85
(-) Cash Required (M)	-35.29	-22.06	-13.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)	140.56	153.79	162.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	259.62	259.62	259.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.54	0.59	0.63
LTM Dividend per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.54	0.59	0.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.54	0.59	0.63
WACC / Discount Rate	9.97%	9.97%	9.97%
Growth Rate	5.36%	6.36%	7.36%
Fair Value	$12.45	$17.56	$25.93
Upside / Downside	-68.36%	-55.36%	-34.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	176.44	187.67	199.61	212.32	225.83	240.20	247.41
Payout Ratio	0.34%	18.27%	36.20%	54.13%	72.07%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	0.59	34.29	72.26	114.94	162.75	216.18	228.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.97%	9.97%	9.97%
Growth Rate	5.36%	6.36%	7.36%
Year 1 PV (M)	30.89	31.18	31.47
Year 2 PV (M)	58.64	59.76	60.89
Year 3 PV (M)	84.02	86.43	88.89
Year 4 PV (M)	107.17	111.30	115.54
Year 5 PV (M)	128.23	134.44	140.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,948.60	2,042.84	2,140.70
Equity Value (M)	2,357.55	2,465.94	2,578.37
Shares Outstanding (M)	259.62	259.62	259.62
Fair Value	$9.08	$9.50	$9.93
Upside / Downside	-76.91%	-75.85%	-74.75%

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YOUNGY Co.,Ltd. (002192.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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