Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sampo Corporation (1604.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$25.03 - $45.43$33.52
Multi-Stage$34.36 - $37.58$35.94
Blended Fair Value$34.73
Current Price$25.30
Upside37.27%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.10%3.87%1.501.502.702.551.521.420.251.801.351.41
YoY Growth--0.00%-44.44%5.65%67.52%7.43%461.52%-85.99%33.06%-3.66%37.22%
Dividend Yield--5.35%5.02%9.80%7.90%4.97%8.32%1.51%10.33%5.63%8.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)638.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)545.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)92.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)127.6279.7647.86
Cash Retained (M)92.7092.7092.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-127.62-79.76-47.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)-34.9212.9444.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)364.11364.11364.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.100.040.12
LTM Dividend per Share1.501.501.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.100.040.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.401.531.62
WACC / Discount Rate7.58%7.58%7.58%
Growth Rate1.87%2.87%3.87%
Fair Value$25.03$33.52$45.43
Upside / Downside-1.07%32.48%79.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)638.12656.43675.27694.65714.59735.10757.15
Payout Ratio85.47%86.38%87.28%88.19%89.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)545.42567.01589.40612.61636.66661.59700.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.58%7.58%7.58%
Growth Rate1.87%2.87%3.87%
Year 1 PV (M)521.96527.08532.20
Year 2 PV (M)499.45509.30519.25
Year 3 PV (M)477.86492.08506.57
Year 4 PV (M)457.16475.38494.13
Year 5 PV (M)437.31459.20481.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,115.7710,622.1211,148.54
Equity Value (M)12,509.5213,085.1613,682.66
Shares Outstanding (M)364.11364.11364.11
Fair Value$34.36$35.94$37.58
Upside / Downside35.80%42.05%48.53%

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