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Waste Connections, Inc.

ID: WCN SECTOR: Industrials INDUSTRY: Waste Management
166.07
-2.82 (-1.67%)
Ref: 2026-04-24

Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $141.51 - $374.20 $213.46
Multi-Stage DDM $62.00 - $67.77 $64.83
Blended Fair Value $139.14
Stock Price$160.99

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS 1.3241.1691.0480.9420.8410.7580.6620.5770.4990.400
YoY % 13.33%11.48%11.31%11.94%10.99%14.54%14.70%15.55%24.68%12.42%
Yield 0.82%0.73%0.65%0.58%0.52%0.47%0.41%0.36%0.31%0.25%

CAGRValue
5 Year11.81%
10 Year14.03%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth 5.50% to 7.50% 6.50%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $141.51 - $374.20 $213.46

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 1,080.53 1,080.53 1,080.53
(=) Cash Required 216.11 135.07 81.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share 3.37 3.69 3.90
LTM Dividend per Share 1.324 1.324 1.324
(=) Adjusted Dividend 4.695 5.011 5.221

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 1,080.53 1,150.761,225.561,305.231,390.061,480.42
Projected Dividends 339.65 287.69502.48743.981,014.751,332.38

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 272.97 275.56 278.15
Year 2 PV 433.30 441.55 449.88
Year 3 PV 583.05 599.78 616.84
Year 4 PV 722.73 750.52 779.11
Year 5 PV 862.43 904.08 947.33
TV PV 13,026.25 13,655.42 14,308.68
Equity Value 15,900.72 16,626.92 17,379.99
Fair Value $62.00 $64.83 $67.77

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