Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Instone Real Estate Group SE (0ZQ7.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - GeneralSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.08 - $7.55$6.26
Multi-Stage$9.97 - $10.94$10.44
Blended Fair Value$8.35
Current Price$9.65
Upside-13.44%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.330.350.660.280.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---5.72%-47.26%135.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.12%4.16%12.89%1.66%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)27.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.463.412.05
Cash Retained (M)5.655.655.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.46-3.41-2.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.192.243.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)43.3243.3243.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.050.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.050.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.500.550.58
WACC / Discount Rate7.72%7.72%7.72%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.08$6.26$7.55
Upside / Downside-47.32%-35.12%-21.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)27.3127.0426.7726.5026.2325.9726.75
Payout Ratio79.32%81.45%83.59%85.73%87.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.6622.0222.3722.7223.0523.3724.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.72%7.72%7.72%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)20.2420.4420.65
Year 2 PV (M)18.8919.2819.67
Year 3 PV (M)17.6318.1718.73
Year 4 PV (M)16.4417.1217.82
Year 5 PV (M)15.3216.1216.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)343.44361.33379.95
Equity Value (M)431.96452.46473.77
Shares Outstanding (M)43.3243.3243.32
Fair Value$9.97$10.44$10.94
Upside / Downside3.32%8.23%13.32%

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