Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Vicinity Centres (VCX.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - RetailSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.40 - $5.35$4.29
Multi-Stage$5.74 - $6.29$6.01
Blended Fair Value$5.15
Current Price$2.47
Upside108.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-2.61%5.77%0.110.120.110.110.030.130.140.140.150.15
YoY Growth---6.30%5.66%1.36%232.24%-73.73%-5.29%-4.88%-6.13%1.72%132.48%
Dividend Yield--4.58%6.42%6.17%6.12%2.19%9.03%5.47%5.53%5.94%4.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,551.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)819.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)732.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)310.34193.96116.38
Cash Retained (M)732.30732.30732.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-310.34-193.96-116.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)421.96538.34615.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,565.364,565.364,565.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.120.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.180.180.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.120.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.270.300.31
WACC / Discount Rate7.66%7.66%7.66%
Growth Rate-0.32%0.68%1.68%
Fair Value$3.40$4.29$5.35
Upside / Downside37.57%73.75%116.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,551.701,562.241,572.851,583.531,594.281,605.111,653.26
Payout Ratio52.81%60.25%67.68%75.12%82.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)819.40941.171,064.561,189.591,316.261,444.601,529.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.66%7.66%7.66%
Growth Rate-0.32%0.68%1.68%
Year 1 PV (M)865.56874.24882.93
Year 2 PV (M)900.38918.54936.88
Year 3 PV (M)925.29953.42982.11
Year 4 PV (M)941.57979.931,019.44
Year 5 PV (M)950.35998.991,049.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,609.0122,714.9023,865.62
Equity Value (M)26,192.1727,440.0228,736.58
Shares Outstanding (M)4,565.364,565.364,565.36
Fair Value$5.74$6.01$6.29
Upside / Downside132.27%143.34%154.84%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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