DDM Analysis: NVDA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$44.78 - $71.59	$56.93
Multi-Stage	$35.41 - $38.64	$36.99
Blended Fair Value	$46.96
Current Price	$191.49
Upside	-75.48%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	16.42%	16.19%	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01
YoY Growth	-	-	111.14%	-0.75%	-0.25%	1.01%	1.28%	5.12%	8.80%	30.65%	22.54%	14.52%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.03%	0.02%	0.06%	0.08%	0.11%	0.21%	0.34%	0.25%	0.40%	0.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	99,198.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	977.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	98,221.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	19,839.60	12,399.75	7,439.85
Cash Retained (M)	98,221.00	98,221.00	98,221.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-19,839.60	-12,399.75	-7,439.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)	78,381.40	85,821.25	90,781.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	24,583.00	24,583.00	24,583.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.19	3.49	3.69
LTM Dividend per Share	0.04	0.04	0.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.19	3.49	3.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.23	3.53	3.73
WACC / Discount Rate	13.11%	13.11%	13.11%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$44.78	$56.93	$71.59
Upside / Downside	-76.61%	-70.27%	-62.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	99,198.00	105,645.87	112,512.85	119,826.19	127,614.89	135,909.86	139,987.15
Payout Ratio	0.98%	18.79%	36.59%	54.39%	72.20%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	977.00	19,848.66	41,169.51	65,178.21	92,134.10	122,318.87	129,488.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	13.11%	13.11%	13.11%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	17,384.07	17,548.85	17,713.63
Year 2 PV (M)	31,580.31	32,181.83	32,789.02
Year 3 PV (M)	43,788.84	45,045.86	46,326.71
Year 4 PV (M)	54,212.79	56,297.66	58,442.09
Year 5 PV (M)	63,036.95	66,081.66	69,242.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)	660,370.09	692,266.21	725,383.08
Equity Value (M)	870,373.05	909,422.06	949,897.41
Shares Outstanding (M)	24,583.00	24,583.00	24,583.00
Fair Value	$35.41	$36.99	$38.64
Upside / Downside	-81.51%	-80.68%	-79.82%

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NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener