Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

BA Airport Leasehold Real Estate Investment Trust (BAREIT.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - SpecialtySector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.70 - $8.13$6.89
Multi-Stage$9.70 - $10.60$10.14
Blended Fair Value$8.52
Current Price$9.35
Upside-8.89%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022
DPS0.00%0.00%0.730.580.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--26.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.94%5.73%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)871.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)778.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)92.48
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)174.27108.9265.35
Cash Retained (M)92.4892.4892.48
(-) Cash Required (M)-174.27-108.92-65.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)-81.79-16.4427.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,033.001,033.001,033.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.08-0.020.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.750.750.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.08-0.020.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.670.740.78
WACC / Discount Rate9.60%9.60%9.60%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.70$6.89$8.13
Upside / Downside-39.02%-26.26%-13.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)871.36862.65854.02845.48837.03828.66853.52
Payout Ratio89.39%89.51%89.63%89.75%89.88%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)778.88772.15765.48758.86752.30745.79789.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.60%9.60%9.60%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)697.41704.53711.64
Year 2 PV (M)624.46637.27650.21
Year 3 PV (M)559.14576.43594.07
Year 4 PV (M)500.65521.40542.78
Year 5 PV (M)448.28471.62495.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,191.547,566.027,955.94
Equity Value (M)10,021.4710,477.2610,950.57
Shares Outstanding (M)1,033.001,033.001,033.00
Fair Value$9.70$10.14$10.60
Upside / Downside3.76%8.48%13.38%

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