Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Yan Tat Group Holdings Limited (1480.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.80 - $81.39$28.67
Multi-Stage$39.24 - $43.41$41.28
Blended Fair Value$34.97
Current Price$1.00
Upside3,397.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.76%0.00%0.100.120.060.060.000.060.000.000.000.05
YoY Growth---16.67%100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--9.80%11.54%5.45%4.41%0.00%3.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)107.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)54.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.4013.388.03
Cash Retained (M)54.2254.2254.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.40-13.38-8.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)32.8240.8546.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)240.00240.00240.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.170.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.170.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.360.390.41
WACC / Discount Rate-1.02%-1.02%-1.02%
Growth Rate-3.34%-2.34%-1.34%
Fair Value$14.80$28.67$81.39
Upside / Downside1,380.35%2,766.55%8,038.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)107.02104.51102.0699.6797.3395.0597.90
Payout Ratio49.33%57.47%65.60%73.73%81.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.8060.0666.9573.4979.6885.5590.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.02%-1.02%-1.02%
Growth Rate-3.34%-2.34%-1.34%
Year 1 PV (M)60.0660.6861.30
Year 2 PV (M)66.9468.3469.74
Year 3 PV (M)73.4775.7878.13
Year 4 PV (M)79.6683.0086.46
Year 5 PV (M)85.5190.0394.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,052.139,530.1910,028.24
Equity Value (M)9,417.779,908.0110,418.60
Shares Outstanding (M)240.00240.00240.00
Fair Value$39.24$41.28$43.41
Upside / Downside3,824.07%4,028.34%4,241.08%

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