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Yan Tat Group Holdings Limited (1480.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.45 - $5.09$4.23
Multi-Stage$8.32 - $9.16$8.73
Blended Fair Value$6.48
Current Price$1.00
Upside548.27%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.76%0.00%0.100.120.060.060.000.060.000.000.000.05
YoY Growth---16.67%100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--9.80%11.54%5.45%4.41%0.00%3.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)107.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)54.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.4013.388.03
Cash Retained (M)54.2254.2254.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.40-13.38-8.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)32.8240.8546.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)240.00240.00240.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.170.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.170.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.360.390.41
WACC / Discount Rate6.65%6.65%6.65%
Growth Rate-3.34%-2.34%-1.34%
Fair Value$3.45$4.23$5.09
Upside / Downside244.87%323.45%408.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)107.02104.51102.0699.6797.3395.0597.90
Payout Ratio49.33%57.47%65.60%73.73%81.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.8060.0666.9573.4979.6885.5590.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.65%6.65%6.65%
Growth Rate-3.34%-2.34%-1.34%
Year 1 PV (M)55.7456.3256.89
Year 2 PV (M)57.6658.8660.07
Year 3 PV (M)58.7360.5862.46
Year 4 PV (M)59.1061.5864.15
Year 5 PV (M)58.8861.9965.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,706.011,796.111,889.97
Equity Value (M)1,996.122,095.432,198.77
Shares Outstanding (M)240.00240.00240.00
Fair Value$8.32$8.73$9.16
Upside / Downside731.72%773.10%816.15%

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