Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Amata Corporation Public Company Limited (AMATA.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$457.80 - $539.37$505.47
Multi-Stage$165.41 - $181.38$173.25
Blended Fair Value$339.36
Current Price$16.10
Upside2,007.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.62%4.53%0.650.650.500.300.320.340.520.460.360.67
YoY Growth---0.01%30.00%66.67%-7.62%-5.41%-33.93%12.00%28.21%-45.83%60.00%
Dividend Yield--3.17%2.72%2.19%1.35%1.70%3.45%2.43%2.24%2.04%5.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,130.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,034.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,095.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)626.12391.33234.80
Cash Retained (M)2,095.682,095.682,095.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-626.12-391.33-234.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,469.561,704.361,860.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,154.311,154.311,154.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.271.481.61
LTM Dividend per Share0.900.900.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.271.481.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.172.372.51
WACC / Discount Rate4.72%4.72%4.72%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$457.80$505.47$539.37
Upside / Downside2,743.50%3,039.56%3,250.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,130.613,334.103,550.813,781.614,027.424,289.204,417.88
Payout Ratio33.06%44.45%55.83%67.22%78.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,034.921,481.891,982.592,542.123,166.023,860.284,086.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.72%4.72%4.72%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,401.831,415.121,428.41
Year 2 PV (M)1,774.161,807.951,842.06
Year 3 PV (M)2,151.972,213.742,276.69
Year 4 PV (M)2,535.322,632.822,733.11
Year 5 PV (M)2,924.273,065.513,212.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)180,143.23188,844.22197,878.21
Equity Value (M)190,930.78199,979.36209,370.63
Shares Outstanding (M)1,154.311,154.311,154.31
Fair Value$165.41$173.25$181.38
Upside / Downside927.37%976.06%1,026.60%

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