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China Coal Energy Company Limited

ID: 601898.SS SECTOR: Energy INDUSTRY: Coal
17.37
-0.23 (-1.31%)
Ref: 2026-04-24

Dividend Discount Models Snapshot

ModelRangeSelected
Stable Growth DDM $6.02 - $7.54 $6.81
Multi-Stage DDM $8.18 - $9.08 $8.62
Blended Fair Value $7.71
Stock Price$17.14

Dividend History (Last 10 Years)

Metric 2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS 0.4240.7760.6620.3030.1340.1280.0770.4350.4090.433
YoY % -45.36%17.30%118.56%125.07%4.84%66.23%-82.27%6.43%-5.60%-6.09%
Yield 2.47%4.53%3.86%1.77%0.78%0.75%0.45%2.54%2.39%2.53%

CAGRValue
5 Year27.01%
10 Year-0.84%

Discounted Dividend Model - Stable Growth

MetricRangeSelected
LT Growth -12.78% to -10.78% -11.78%
WACC9.00%9.00%
Fair Value $6.02 - $7.54 $6.81

Calculation Details (Millions)

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio 20.0% 12.5% 7.5%
(*) Adjusted Net Income 2,617.08 2,617.08 2,617.08
(=) Cash Required 523.42 327.14 196.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share 1.08 1.18 1.25
LTM Dividend per Share 0.424 0.424 0.424
(=) Adjusted Dividend 1.503 1.604 1.672

Multi-Stage Projections (BASE Case - Millions)

MetricTTMYear 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5
Net Income 2,617.08 2,308.782,036.791,796.841,585.171,398.42
Projected Dividends 822.68 577.19835.081,024.201,157.171,258.58

Multi-Stage Valuation (Millions)

Present ValuesLOWBASEHIGH
Year 1 PV 546.58 552.85 559.12
Year 2 PV 717.28 733.82 750.55
Year 3 PV 797.93 825.69 854.09
Year 4 PV 817.71 855.86 895.33
Year 5 PV 806.69 854.01 903.52
TV PV 12,184.41 12,899.10 13,646.94
Equity Value 15,870.60 16,721.34 17,609.56
Fair Value $8.18 $8.62 $9.08

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