Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zwack Unicum Nyrt. (ZWACK.BD)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47,404.49 - $168,043.20$78,571.15
Multi-Stage$38,104.53 - $41,603.12$39,821.97
Blended Fair Value$59,196.56
Current Price$32,500.00
Upside82.14%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS1.49%-5.63%1,400.001,700.001,500.00700.00300.001,300.001,050.001,050.00850.001,200.00
YoY Growth---17.65%13.33%114.29%133.33%-76.92%23.81%0.00%23.53%-29.17%-52.00%
Dividend Yield--4.24%6.80%7.73%3.77%1.80%7.74%5.87%5.98%4.75%6.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,397.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,000.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)397.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)679.40424.63254.78
Cash Retained (M)397.00397.00397.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-679.40-424.63-254.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)-282.40-27.63142.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.002.002.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-141.20-13.8171.11
LTM Dividend per Share1,500.001,500.001,500.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share-141.20-13.8171.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,358.801,486.191,571.11
WACC / Discount Rate7.51%7.51%7.51%
Growth Rate4.52%5.52%6.52%
Fair Value$47,404.49$78,571.15$168,043.20
Upside / Downside45.86%141.76%417.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,397.003,584.423,782.193,990.864,211.054,443.384,576.68
Payout Ratio88.31%88.65%88.99%89.33%89.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,000.003,177.613,365.693,564.853,775.743,999.044,233.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.51%7.51%7.51%
Growth Rate4.52%5.52%6.52%
Year 1 PV (M)2,927.542,955.562,983.57
Year 2 PV (M)2,856.802,911.732,967.18
Year 3 PV (M)2,787.722,868.512,950.84
Year 4 PV (M)2,720.282,825.892,934.55
Year 5 PV (M)2,654.422,783.862,918.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)62,262.2965,298.4068,451.81
Equity Value (M)76,209.0679,643.9483,206.24
Shares Outstanding (M)2.002.002.00
Fair Value$38,104.53$39,821.97$41,603.12
Upside / Downside17.24%22.53%28.01%

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