Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: EntertainmentSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.74 - $38.32$25.36
Multi-Stage$50.89 - $56.04$53.41
Blended Fair Value$39.38
Current Price$34.06
Upside15.63%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS2.17%0.00%0.600.570.530.500.420.540.151.450.130.00
YoY Growth--6.09%6.18%6.92%20.00%-22.97%265.96%-89.84%1,001.19%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.77%1.83%1.49%1.43%0.96%1.42%0.49%4.82%0.44%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)621.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)383.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)238.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)124.2077.6346.58
Cash Retained (M)238.00238.00238.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-124.20-77.63-46.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)113.80160.38191.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)636.57636.57636.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.250.30
LTM Dividend per Share0.600.600.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.250.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.780.850.90
WACC / Discount Rate4.58%4.58%4.58%
Growth Rate0.17%1.17%2.17%
Fair Value$17.74$25.36$38.32
Upside / Downside-47.90%-25.55%12.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)621.00628.27635.63643.07650.61658.22677.97
Payout Ratio61.67%67.34%73.00%78.67%84.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)383.00423.08464.04505.91548.69592.40627.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.58%4.58%4.58%
Growth Rate0.17%1.17%2.17%
Year 1 PV (M)400.56404.56408.56
Year 2 PV (M)415.97424.31432.74
Year 3 PV (M)429.36442.35455.59
Year 4 PV (M)440.89458.76477.17
Year 5 PV (M)450.68473.63497.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)30,255.9531,796.6233,399.42
Equity Value (M)32,393.4034,000.2235,670.98
Shares Outstanding (M)636.57636.57636.57
Fair Value$50.89$53.41$56.04
Upside / Downside49.41%56.82%64.52%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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