Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT WEHA Transportasi Indonesia Tbk (WEHA.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RailroadsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,523.81 - $2,976.28$2,787.91
Multi-Stage$2,076.32 - $2,289.26$2,180.70
Blended Fair Value$2,484.31
Current Price$115.00
Upside2,060.27%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%6.000.000.000.000.000.001.650.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22,943.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,763.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)14,180.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,588.752,867.971,720.78
Cash Retained (M)14,180.4014,180.4014,180.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,588.75-2,867.97-1,720.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,591.6611,312.4412,459.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,460.561,460.561,460.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.577.758.53
LTM Dividend per Share6.006.006.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.577.758.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend12.5713.7514.53
WACC / Discount Rate-5.34%-5.34%-5.34%
Growth Rate0.41%1.41%2.41%
Fair Value$2,523.81$2,787.91$2,976.28
Upside / Downside2,094.62%2,324.27%2,488.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22,943.7323,267.9823,596.8223,930.3024,268.4924,611.4625,349.81
Payout Ratio38.19%48.56%58.92%69.28%79.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,763.3311,297.9813,902.5216,578.4219,327.1822,150.3223,448.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-5.34%-5.34%-5.34%
Growth Rate0.41%1.41%2.41%
Year 1 PV (M)11,817.3511,935.0412,052.73
Year 2 PV (M)15,210.1115,514.5715,822.04
Year 3 PV (M)18,971.4919,543.9520,127.82
Year 4 PV (M)23,133.7524,069.1525,032.64
Year 5 PV (M)27,731.7329,140.3930,605.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,935,712.113,084,834.373,239,955.84
Equity Value (M)3,032,576.543,185,037.483,343,596.79
Shares Outstanding (M)1,460.561,460.561,460.56
Fair Value$2,076.32$2,180.70$2,289.26
Upside / Downside1,705.49%1,796.26%1,890.66%

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