Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Western Digital Corporation (WDC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.89 - $31.30$27.78
Multi-Stage$56.75 - $63.16$59.88
Blended Fair Value$43.83
Current Price$131.31
Upside-66.62%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-40.60%-19.73%0.120.000.000.000.001.641.611.631.581.28
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%1.88%-1.52%3.31%23.71%17.17%
Dividend Yield--0.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%6.03%4.28%3.69%2.42%2.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,557.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)83.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,474.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)511.40319.63191.78
Cash Retained (M)2,474.002,474.002,474.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-511.40-319.63-191.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,962.602,154.382,282.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)363.25363.25363.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.405.936.28
LTM Dividend per Share0.230.230.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.405.936.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.636.166.51
WACC / Discount Rate7.91%7.91%7.91%
Growth Rate-12.67%-11.67%-10.67%
Fair Value$23.89$27.78$31.30
Upside / Downside-81.80%-78.84%-76.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,557.002,258.601,995.021,762.201,556.551,374.901,416.14
Payout Ratio3.25%20.60%37.95%55.30%72.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)83.00465.20757.06974.471,130.821,237.411,309.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.91%7.91%7.91%
Growth Rate-12.67%-11.67%-10.67%
Year 1 PV (M)426.20431.08435.96
Year 2 PV (M)635.46650.10664.90
Year 3 PV (M)749.38775.42802.06
Year 4 PV (M)796.73833.85872.26
Year 5 PV (M)798.74845.54894.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,208.5318,216.6219,271.40
Equity Value (M)20,615.0521,752.6122,941.07
Shares Outstanding (M)363.25363.25363.25
Fair Value$56.75$59.88$63.16
Upside / Downside-56.78%-54.40%-51.90%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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