Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Village Super Market, Inc. (VLGEA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Grocery StoresSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$72.84 - $161.20$104.98
Multi-Stage$103.77 - $114.01$108.79
Blended Fair Value$106.88
Current Price$31.37
Upside240.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.52%0.57%0.920.920.910.900.900.890.890.890.880.87
YoY Growth---0.25%1.12%1.17%-0.07%0.66%0.58%0.09%0.70%1.22%0.45%
Dividend Yield--2.55%3.08%3.78%4.03%4.03%3.82%3.45%3.50%3.61%2.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)55.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)44.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.126.954.17
Cash Retained (M)44.2344.2344.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.12-6.95-4.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)33.1237.2840.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.5314.5314.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.282.572.76
LTM Dividend per Share0.780.780.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.282.572.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.063.353.54
WACC / Discount Rate6.17%6.17%6.17%
Growth Rate1.89%2.89%3.89%
Fair Value$72.84$104.98$161.20
Upside / Downside132.19%234.64%413.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)55.5857.1958.8460.5562.3064.1066.02
Payout Ratio20.42%34.33%48.25%62.17%76.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.3519.6328.3937.6447.4057.6961.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.17%6.17%6.17%
Growth Rate1.89%2.89%3.89%
Year 1 PV (M)18.3118.4918.67
Year 2 PV (M)24.7025.1925.68
Year 3 PV (M)30.5431.4532.37
Year 4 PV (M)35.8737.3038.77
Year 5 PV (M)40.7242.7644.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,358.001,425.961,496.61
Equity Value (M)1,508.141,581.141,656.98
Shares Outstanding (M)14.5314.5314.53
Fair Value$103.77$108.79$114.01
Upside / Downside230.80%246.81%263.45%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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