DDM Analysis: TRA.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$42.93 - $123.62	$115.85
Multi-Stage	$17.11 - $18.72	$17.90
Blended Fair Value	$66.87
Current Price	$5.30
Upside	1,161.76%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-1.45%	10.62%	0.15	0.25	0.22	0.16	0.19	0.17	0.17	0.13	0.10	0.09
YoY Growth	-	-	-37.59%	10.35%	44.49%	-19.94%	16.67%	-3.10%	33.26%	32.83%	13.15%	52.04%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.92%	5.17%	6.78%	4.43%	6.26%	7.70%	5.69%	4.05%	2.98%	2.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	55.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	21.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)	33.41

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	11.01	6.88	4.13
Cash Retained (M)	33.41	33.41	33.41
(-) Cash Required (M)	-11.01	-6.88	-4.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)	22.39	26.52	29.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	88.60	88.60	88.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.25	0.30	0.33
LTM Dividend per Share	0.24	0.24	0.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.25	0.30	0.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.50	0.54	0.57
WACC / Discount Rate	6.72%	6.72%	6.72%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$42.93	$115.85	$123.62
Upside / Downside	710.03%	2,085.81%	2,232.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	55.07	58.65	62.46	66.52	70.85	75.45	77.71
Payout Ratio	39.34%	49.47%	59.60%	69.74%	79.87%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	21.66	29.01	37.23	46.39	56.58	67.91	71.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.72%	6.72%	6.72%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	26.93	27.19	27.44
Year 2 PV (M)	32.08	32.69	33.30
Year 3 PV (M)	37.10	38.16	39.25
Year 4 PV (M)	42.00	43.62	45.28
Year 5 PV (M)	46.79	49.05	51.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,330.80	1,395.08	1,461.81
Equity Value (M)	1,515.70	1,585.78	1,658.48
Shares Outstanding (M)	88.60	88.60	88.60
Fair Value	$17.11	$17.90	$18.72
Upside / Downside	222.79%	237.72%	253.20%

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Financial Statements

Fundamentals

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Sector

Turners Automotive Group Limited (TRA.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener