Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Thai Mitsuwa Public Company Limited (TMW.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,267.95 - $2,641.30$2,475.28
Multi-Stage$400.53 - $438.59$419.21
Blended Fair Value$1,447.24
Current Price$52.25
Upside2,669.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.19%13.21%4.151.700.900.461.782.802.551.321.051.00
YoY Growth--144.12%88.89%95.65%-74.16%-36.43%9.80%93.18%25.71%5.00%-16.67%
Dividend Yield--8.35%2.78%2.37%1.33%4.78%7.47%3.97%2.04%2.52%3.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)529.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)144.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)385.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)105.9266.2039.72
Cash Retained (M)385.57385.57385.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-105.92-66.20-39.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)279.65319.37345.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)39.8839.8839.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.018.018.67
LTM Dividend per Share3.613.613.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.018.018.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.6211.6212.29
WACC / Discount Rate6.38%6.38%6.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,267.95$2,475.28$2,641.30
Upside / Downside2,326.71%4,637.38%4,955.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)529.61564.04600.70639.74681.33725.61747.38
Payout Ratio27.20%39.76%52.32%64.88%77.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)144.04224.25314.28415.06527.62653.05691.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.38%6.38%6.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)208.81210.79212.77
Year 2 PV (M)272.50277.69282.93
Year 3 PV (M)335.11344.73354.53
Year 4 PV (M)396.66411.92427.61
Year 5 PV (M)457.17479.25502.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,301.4314,992.2015,709.40
Equity Value (M)15,971.6916,716.5817,489.42
Shares Outstanding (M)39.8839.8839.88
Fair Value$400.53$419.21$438.59
Upside / Downside666.56%702.31%739.40%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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