Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Translational Development Acquisition Corp. (TDAC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Shell CompaniesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.53 - $7.20$5.74
Multi-Stage$12.16 - $13.38$12.75
Blended Fair Value$9.25
Current Price$10.35
Upside-10.64%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022
DPS0.00%0.00%0.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.950.590.36
Cash Retained (M)0.960.960.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.95-0.59-0.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.010.360.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.6510.6510.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.030.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.360.360.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.030.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.360.390.41
WACC / Discount Rate5.74%5.74%5.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.53$5.74$7.20
Upside / Downside-56.27%-44.52%-30.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4.764.714.664.624.574.534.66
Payout Ratio79.86%81.89%83.92%85.95%87.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.803.863.913.974.024.074.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.74%5.74%5.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)3.613.653.69
Year 2 PV (M)3.433.503.57
Year 3 PV (M)3.263.363.46
Year 4 PV (M)3.093.223.35
Year 5 PV (M)2.933.083.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)113.14119.03125.16
Equity Value (M)129.45135.83142.47
Shares Outstanding (M)10.6510.6510.65
Fair Value$12.16$12.75$13.38
Upside / Downside17.44%23.23%29.25%

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