Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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State Street Corporation (STT-PD)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$507.02 - $2,015.95$1,374.60
Multi-Stage$296.12 - $324.38$309.99
Blended Fair Value$842.30
Current Price$116.01
Upside626.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.12%6.72%3.543.323.332.583.053.192.842.632.482.24
YoY Growth--6.49%-0.21%29.26%-15.41%-4.41%12.32%7.81%6.22%10.38%21.52%
Dividend Yield--3.95%4.30%4.40%2.96%3.62%5.98%4.20%2.64%3.11%3.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,981.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)998.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,983.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)596.20372.63223.58
Cash Retained (M)1,983.001,983.001,983.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-596.20-372.63-223.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,386.801,610.381,759.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)291.95291.95291.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.755.526.03
LTM Dividend per Share3.423.423.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.755.526.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.178.939.44
WACC / Discount Rate6.41%6.41%6.41%
Growth Rate4.72%5.72%6.72%
Fair Value$507.02$1,374.60$2,015.95
Upside / Downside337.05%1,084.90%1,637.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,981.003,151.553,331.863,522.493,724.023,937.084,055.20
Payout Ratio33.48%44.78%56.09%67.39%78.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)998.001,411.361,868.752,373.862,930.653,543.383,751.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.41%6.41%6.41%
Growth Rate4.72%5.72%6.72%
Year 1 PV (M)1,313.811,326.361,338.90
Year 2 PV (M)1,619.361,650.441,681.81
Year 3 PV (M)1,914.891,970.272,026.71
Year 4 PV (M)2,200.642,285.912,373.63
Year 5 PV (M)2,476.852,597.392,722.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)76,926.6980,670.4484,558.54
Equity Value (M)86,452.2490,500.8094,702.16
Shares Outstanding (M)291.95291.95291.95
Fair Value$296.12$309.99$324.38
Upside / Downside155.26%167.21%179.61%

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