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Definitive Analysis

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Thai Stanley Electric Public Company Limited (STANLY.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,650.09 - $4,304.38$4,032.00
Multi-Stage$2,631.46 - $2,900.35$2,763.27
Blended Fair Value$3,397.64
Current Price$182.00
Upside1,766.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS19.40%12.81%19.9919.998.505.508.258.247.005.005.004.80
YoY Growth--0.00%135.29%54.55%-33.33%0.08%17.76%40.00%0.07%4.10%-19.88%
Dividend Yield--10.05%9.09%3.93%3.06%4.43%4.86%3.00%1.99%2.22%2.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,739.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)919.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)819.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)347.83217.40130.44
Cash Retained (M)819.67819.67819.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-347.83-217.40-130.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)471.83602.27689.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)76.6476.6476.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.167.868.99
LTM Dividend per Share12.0012.0012.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.167.868.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend18.1519.8520.99
WACC / Discount Rate-2.63%-2.63%-2.63%
Growth Rate0.54%1.54%2.54%
Fair Value$3,650.09$4,032.00$4,304.38
Upside / Downside1,905.54%2,115.38%2,265.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,739.171,765.891,793.021,820.571,848.541,876.941,933.25
Payout Ratio52.87%60.30%67.72%75.15%82.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)919.501,064.761,214.271,368.121,526.411,689.251,788.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-2.63%-2.63%-2.63%
Growth Rate0.54%1.54%2.54%
Year 1 PV (M)1,082.741,093.511,104.28
Year 2 PV (M)1,255.621,280.721,306.07
Year 3 PV (M)1,438.601,481.951,526.17
Year 4 PV (M)1,632.141,698.061,765.95
Year 5 PV (M)1,836.761,929.942,026.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)194,441.02204,305.49214,566.32
Equity Value (M)201,686.87211,789.67222,295.65
Shares Outstanding (M)76.6476.6476.64
Fair Value$2,631.46$2,763.27$2,900.35
Upside / Downside1,345.86%1,418.28%1,493.60%

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