Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

PT Solusi Bangun Indonesia Tbk (SMCB.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$797.54 - $1,222.39$995.84
Multi-Stage$1,737.26 - $1,911.75$1,822.80
Blended Fair Value$1,409.32
Current Price$775.00
Upside81.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-8.91%29.0727.2223.9321.593.060.000.000.0011.3126.27
YoY Growth--6.82%13.75%10.81%606.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-56.93%-64.46%
Dividend Yield--3.75%2.09%1.81%1.24%0.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.25%2.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)797,079.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)363,167.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)433,912.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)159,415.8099,634.8859,780.93
Cash Retained (M)433,912.00433,912.00433,912.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-159,415.80-99,634.88-59,780.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)274,496.20334,277.13374,131.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9,019.389,019.389,019.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share30.4337.0641.48
LTM Dividend per Share40.2740.2740.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share30.4337.0641.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend70.7077.3381.75
WACC / Discount Rate6.69%6.69%6.69%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$797.54$995.84$1,222.39
Upside / Downside2.91%28.50%57.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)797,079.00789,108.21781,217.13773,404.96765,670.91758,014.20780,754.62
Payout Ratio45.56%54.45%63.34%72.22%81.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)363,167.00429,667.74494,802.15558,590.91621,054.41682,212.78722,198.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.69%6.69%6.69%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)398,667.25402,735.28406,803.32
Year 2 PV (M)425,978.03434,715.81443,542.31
Year 3 PV (M)446,197.66459,996.63474,077.20
Year 4 PV (M)460,299.91479,377.19499,041.41
Year 5 PV (M)469,146.95493,576.53519,013.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,468,736.4214,170,084.7714,900,350.19
Equity Value (M)15,669,026.2316,440,486.2117,242,827.76
Shares Outstanding (M)9,019.389,019.389,019.38
Fair Value$1,737.26$1,822.80$1,911.75
Upside / Downside124.16%135.20%146.68%

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