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Definitive Analysis

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Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen S.A. (PZU.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,197.68 - $1,411.07$1,322.38
Multi-Stage$262.55 - $287.37$274.73
Blended Fair Value$798.56
Current Price$63.00
Upside1,167.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.16%9.83%4.342.401.943.500.002.802.501.402.084.70
YoY Growth--80.89%23.70%-44.57%0.00%-100.00%12.00%78.58%-32.68%-55.75%176.47%
Dividend Yield--7.75%4.93%5.53%10.34%0.00%8.94%6.13%3.35%5.98%13.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,126.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,748.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,378.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,225.20765.75459.45
Cash Retained (M)2,378.002,378.002,378.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,225.20-765.75-459.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,152.801,612.251,918.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)863.39863.39863.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.341.872.22
LTM Dividend per Share4.344.344.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.341.872.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.686.216.56
WACC / Discount Rate5.83%5.83%5.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,197.68$1,322.38$1,411.07
Upside / Downside1,801.08%1,999.02%2,139.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,126.006,524.196,948.267,399.907,880.898,393.158,644.95
Payout Ratio61.18%66.95%72.71%78.47%84.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,748.004,367.655,052.025,806.906,638.587,553.847,996.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.83%5.83%5.83%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4,088.224,126.974,165.72
Year 2 PV (M)4,426.264,510.574,595.67
Year 3 PV (M)4,762.154,898.855,038.15
Year 4 PV (M)5,095.885,291.855,493.42
Year 5 PV (M)5,427.475,689.625,961.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)202,883.68212,683.04222,857.44
Equity Value (M)226,683.66237,200.90248,112.20
Shares Outstanding (M)863.39863.39863.39
Fair Value$262.55$274.73$287.37
Upside / Downside316.75%336.08%356.14%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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