DDM Analysis: PDCO

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$23.97 - $45.59	$32.69
Multi-Stage	$37.37 - $40.98	$39.14
Blended Fair Value	$35.92
Current Price	$30.93
Upside	16.12%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-0.23%	1.39%	1.10	1.14	1.13	0.84	1.13	1.12	1.11	1.08	1.02	0.92
YoY Growth	-	-	-2.97%	0.23%	34.49%	-25.15%	0.98%	0.27%	3.43%	5.86%	10.81%	-4.55%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.19%	3.49%	3.65%	2.52%	4.50%	5.69%	4.68%	2.55%	2.06%	1.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	138.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	92.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)	46.30

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	27.76	17.35	10.41
Cash Retained (M)	46.30	46.30	46.30
(-) Cash Required (M)	-27.76	-17.35	-10.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)	18.54	28.95	35.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	89.17	89.17	89.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.21	0.32	0.40
LTM Dividend per Share	1.04	1.04	1.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.21	0.32	0.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.25	1.36	1.44
WACC / Discount Rate	6.60%	6.60%	6.60%
Growth Rate	1.34%	2.34%	3.34%
Fair Value	$23.97	$32.69	$45.59
Upside / Downside	-22.49%	5.70%	47.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	138.78	142.02	145.33	148.73	152.20	155.75	160.43
Payout Ratio	66.64%	71.31%	75.98%	80.66%	85.33%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	92.48	101.27	110.43	119.96	129.87	140.18	148.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.60%	6.60%	6.60%
Growth Rate	1.34%	2.34%	3.34%
Year 1 PV (M)	94.08	95.00	95.93
Year 2 PV (M)	95.29	97.18	99.09
Year 3 PV (M)	96.16	99.03	101.96
Year 4 PV (M)	96.70	100.58	104.57
Year 5 PV (M)	96.96	101.84	106.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,852.71	2,996.27	3,145.55
Equity Value (M)	3,331.90	3,489.90	3,654.02
Shares Outstanding (M)	89.17	89.17	89.17
Fair Value	$37.37	$39.14	$40.98
Upside / Downside	20.81%	26.54%	32.49%

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Financial Statements

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Patterson Companies, Inc. (PDCO)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener