Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Olav Thon Eiendomsselskap ASA (OLT.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$791.61 - $3,776.06$1,401.84
Multi-Stage$502.91 - $549.94$526.00
Blended Fair Value$963.92
Current Price$273.00
Upside253.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.38%16.96%7.366.807.125.340.134.702.642.212.001.75
YoY Growth--8.18%-4.49%33.40%3,884.62%-97.15%78.13%19.63%10.31%14.12%14.09%
Dividend Yield--2.84%3.08%4.17%2.84%0.08%4.16%1.74%1.56%1.24%1.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,422.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)744.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,678.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)484.40302.75181.65
Cash Retained (M)1,678.001,678.001,678.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-484.40-302.75-181.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,193.601,375.251,496.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)97.0197.0197.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share12.3014.1815.43
LTM Dividend per Share7.677.677.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share12.3014.1815.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend19.9721.8523.09
WACC / Discount Rate7.92%7.92%7.92%
Growth Rate5.27%6.27%7.27%
Fair Value$791.61$1,401.84$3,776.06
Upside / Downside189.97%413.49%1,283.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,422.002,573.742,734.982,906.333,088.413,281.903,380.36
Payout Ratio30.72%42.57%54.43%66.29%78.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)744.001,095.761,488.681,926.532,413.402,953.713,126.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.92%7.92%7.92%
Growth Rate5.27%6.27%7.27%
Year 1 PV (M)1,005.781,015.341,024.89
Year 2 PV (M)1,254.231,278.171,302.34
Year 3 PV (M)1,489.841,532.701,576.38
Year 4 PV (M)1,713.091,779.121,847.04
Year 5 PV (M)1,924.452,017.612,114.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)41,398.4843,402.5945,483.58
Equity Value (M)48,785.8651,025.5353,348.58
Shares Outstanding (M)97.0197.0197.01
Fair Value$502.91$526.00$549.94
Upside / Downside84.22%92.67%101.44%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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