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Definitive Analysis

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Oracle Financial Services Software Limited (OFSS.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,988.31 - $7,250.56$5,344.02
Multi-Stage$3,930.70 - $4,275.53$4,100.05
Blended Fair Value$4,722.03
Current Price$8,403.00
Upside-43.81%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS256.60%-6.56%238.29222.87188.01197.68177.130.41127.40165.7397.17174.42
YoY Growth--6.92%18.54%-4.89%11.60%42,766.71%-99.68%-23.13%70.56%-44.29%-62.87%
Dividend Yield--2.65%2.19%4.87%6.38%4.85%0.01%4.03%4.07%2.69%5.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)23,732.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23,027.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)705.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,746.402,966.501,779.90
Cash Retained (M)705.00705.00705.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,746.40-2,966.50-1,779.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)-4,041.40-2,261.50-1,074.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)87.3287.3287.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share-46.29-25.90-12.31
LTM Dividend per Share263.72263.72263.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share-46.29-25.90-12.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend217.44237.82251.41
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate4.28%5.28%6.28%
Fair Value$3,988.31$5,344.02$7,250.56
Upside / Downside-52.54%-36.40%-13.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)23,732.0024,985.5026,305.2027,694.6129,157.4030,697.4631,618.39
Payout Ratio97.03%95.62%94.22%92.81%91.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23,027.0023,892.0024,784.1325,703.8426,651.5827,627.7229,247.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate4.28%5.28%6.28%
Year 1 PV (M)21,520.1121,726.4821,932.84
Year 2 PV (M)20,107.4920,494.9720,886.16
Year 3 PV (M)18,783.4119,328.9719,885.00
Year 4 PV (M)17,542.4918,225.1218,927.48
Year 5 PV (M)16,379.6817,180.2518,011.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)248,876.78261,040.73273,675.71
Equity Value (M)343,209.96357,996.51373,319.00
Shares Outstanding (M)87.3287.3287.32
Fair Value$3,930.70$4,100.05$4,275.53
Upside / Downside-53.22%-51.21%-49.12%

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