Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

MidWestOne Financial Group, Inc. (MOFG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$64.74 - $168.10$98.34
Multi-Stage$45.02 - $49.16$47.05
Blended Fair Value$72.70
Current Price$28.29
Upside156.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.54%12.99%0.790.730.710.690.680.550.460.390.350.30
YoY Growth--8.50%2.33%4.12%0.75%23.52%20.36%18.29%10.17%15.34%30.32%
Dividend Yield--2.68%3.20%2.93%2.07%2.20%2.63%1.60%1.16%1.03%1.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)58.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)39.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.697.314.38
Cash Retained (M)39.5039.5039.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.69-7.31-4.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.8132.1935.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.8220.8220.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.341.551.69
LTM Dividend per Share0.910.910.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.341.551.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.252.462.60
WACC / Discount Rate9.16%9.16%9.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$64.74$98.34$168.10
Upside / Downside128.85%247.62%494.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)58.4662.2666.3170.6275.2180.1082.50
Payout Ratio32.44%43.95%55.46%66.98%78.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.9627.3636.7847.3059.0372.0976.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.16%9.16%9.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)24.8325.0725.30
Year 2 PV (M)30.2930.8631.45
Year 3 PV (M)35.3536.3637.39
Year 4 PV (M)40.0341.5743.16
Year 5 PV (M)44.3646.5148.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)762.24799.06837.28
Equity Value (M)937.10979.431,023.32
Shares Outstanding (M)20.8220.8220.82
Fair Value$45.02$47.05$49.16
Upside / Downside59.14%66.33%73.78%

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