Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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KKR Group Finance Co. IX LLC 4. (KKRS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$331.83 - $1,280.25$941.23
Multi-Stage$154.64 - $169.35$161.86
Blended Fair Value$551.54
Current Price$18.26
Upside2,920.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.96%-2.46%0.660.660.550.450.380.330.380.370.330.76
YoY Growth---0.48%19.81%22.33%18.58%16.08%-14.30%3.00%12.25%-56.46%-9.99%
Dividend Yield--3.69%3.30%2.98%2.05%1.47%1.27%1.48%1.43%1.28%2.93%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,000.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)456.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,543.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,200.00750.00450.00
Cash Retained (M)5,543.255,543.255,543.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,200.00-750.00-450.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,343.254,793.255,093.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)932.05932.05932.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.665.145.46
LTM Dividend per Share0.490.490.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.665.145.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.155.635.95
WACC / Discount Rate7.14%7.14%7.14%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$331.83$941.23$1,280.25
Upside / Downside1,717.25%5,054.57%6,911.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,000.016,390.016,805.367,247.717,718.818,220.548,467.15
Payout Ratio7.61%24.09%40.57%57.05%73.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)456.761,539.362,760.774,134.465,675.077,398.487,832.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.14%7.14%7.14%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,423.321,436.811,450.31
Year 2 PV (M)2,360.232,405.192,450.57
Year 3 PV (M)3,268.173,361.993,457.59
Year 4 PV (M)4,147.814,307.324,471.39
Year 5 PV (M)4,999.805,241.295,492.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)127,928.28134,107.26140,522.73
Equity Value (M)144,127.61150,859.87157,844.61
Shares Outstanding (M)932.05932.05932.05
Fair Value$154.64$161.86$169.35
Upside / Downside746.85%786.41%827.45%

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