DDM Analysis: KAI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$246.25 - $891.11	$410.22
Multi-Stage	$154.92 - $169.43	$162.04
Blended Fair Value	$286.13
Current Price	$302.68
Upside	-5.47%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	7.55%	8.75%	1.24	1.12	1.02	0.97	0.93	0.87	0.82	0.76	0.68	0.61
YoY Growth	-	-	10.96%	10.18%	4.72%	5.11%	6.93%	5.72%	7.02%	12.11%	11.97%	13.25%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.37%	0.34%	0.49%	0.49%	0.49%	1.22%	0.93%	0.81%	1.15%	1.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	101.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	15.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)	86.45

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	20.40	12.75	7.65
Cash Retained (M)	86.45	86.45	86.45
(-) Cash Required (M)	-20.40	-12.75	-7.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)	66.05	73.70	78.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	11.79	11.79	11.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share	5.60	6.25	6.69
LTM Dividend per Share	1.32	1.32	1.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share	5.60	6.25	6.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend	6.92	7.57	8.00
WACC / Discount Rate	8.47%	8.47%	8.47%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$246.25	$410.22	$891.11
Upside / Downside	-18.64%	35.53%	194.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	101.98	108.60	115.66	123.18	131.19	139.72	143.91
Payout Ratio	15.23%	30.18%	45.14%	60.09%	75.05%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	15.53	32.78	52.21	74.02	98.45	125.74	133.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.47%	8.47%	8.47%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	29.94	30.22	30.50
Year 2 PV (M)	43.55	44.38	45.21
Year 3 PV (M)	56.39	58.01	59.66
Year 4 PV (M)	68.50	71.13	73.84
Year 5 PV (M)	79.90	83.76	87.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,547.58	1,622.32	1,699.93
Equity Value (M)	1,825.84	1,909.82	1,996.91
Shares Outstanding (M)	11.79	11.79	11.79
Fair Value	$154.92	$162.04	$169.43
Upside / Downside	-48.82%	-46.46%	-44.02%

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Financial Statements

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Kadant Inc. (KAI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener