DDM Analysis: JKON.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$39.63 - $54.66	$47.20
Multi-Stage	$67.09 - $73.61	$70.29
Blended Fair Value	$58.74
Current Price	$88.00
Upside	-33.25%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	3.39%	0.12%	4.25	3.00	0.00	0.03	2.40	3.60	5.80	6.40	4.50	4.30
YoY Growth	-	-	41.67%	929,336.93%	-98.83%	-98.85%	-33.30%	-37.96%	-9.37%	42.22%	4.65%	2.38%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.07%	3.16%	0.00%	0.03%	1.17%	0.87%	1.71%	1.22%	0.75%	0.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	116,686.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	53,002.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)	63,684.16

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	23,337.37	14,585.86	8,751.51
Cash Retained (M)	63,684.16	63,684.16	63,684.16
(-) Cash Required (M)	-23,337.37	-14,585.86	-8,751.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)	40,346.79	49,098.31	54,932.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	16,308.52	16,308.52	16,308.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.47	3.01	3.37
LTM Dividend per Share	3.25	3.25	3.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.47	3.01	3.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.72	6.26	6.62
WACC / Discount Rate	9.93%	9.93%	9.93%
Growth Rate	-3.95%	-2.95%	-1.95%
Fair Value	$39.63	$47.20	$54.66
Upside / Downside	-54.97%	-46.36%	-37.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	116,686.85	113,248.77	109,911.98	106,673.51	103,530.46	100,480.02	103,494.42
Payout Ratio	45.42%	54.34%	63.25%	72.17%	81.08%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	53,002.69	61,537.58	69,523.52	76,985.43	83,947.26	90,432.02	95,732.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.93%	9.93%	9.93%
Growth Rate	-3.95%	-2.95%	-1.95%
Year 1 PV (M)	55,403.66	55,980.46	56,557.26
Year 2 PV (M)	56,354.39	57,533.89	58,725.61
Year 3 PV (M)	56,182.69	57,955.75	59,765.73
Year 4 PV (M)	55,156.74	57,489.77	59,896.05
Year 5 PV (M)	53,494.88	56,338.11	59,300.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)	817,541.22	860,993.11	906,273.23
Equity Value (M)	1,094,133.59	1,146,291.10	1,200,518.85
Shares Outstanding (M)	16,308.52	16,308.52	16,308.52
Fair Value	$67.09	$70.29	$73.61
Upside / Downside	-23.76%	-20.13%	-16.35%

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301058.SZ	COFCO Technology & Industry Co., Ltd.	1.44%	$0.16	34.15%
3393.HK	Wasion Holdings Limited	1.44%	$0.26	17.68%
5536.TWO	Acter Group Corporation Limited	1.44%	$10.99	47.44%
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0YG7.L	Beijer Alma AB (publ)	1.43%	$4.12	46.18%
2427.T	OUTSOURCING Inc.	1.43%	$24.98	56.59%
300409.SZ	Guangdong Dowstone Technology Co., Ltd.	1.43%	$0.32	58.17%
600362.SS	Jiangxi Copper Company Limited	1.43%	$0.79	33.95%
600409.SS	Tangshan Sanyou Chemical Industries Co.,Ltd	1.43%	$0.09	81.03%
601858.SS	China Science Publishing & Media Ltd.	1.43%	$0.26	39.12%
603283.SS	Suzhou Secote Precision Electronic Co.,LTD	1.43%	$0.62	25.98%
603757.SS	Zhejiang Dayuan Pumps Industry Co., Ltd	1.43%	$0.63	58.53%
6479.T	MinebeaMitsumi Inc.	1.43%	$45.06	29.19%
7012.T	Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd.	1.43%	$148.51	32.29%
9630.SR	Ratio Speciality Company for Trading	1.43%	$0.10	14.11%
G	Genpact Limited	1.43%	$0.66	20.93%
GIL	Gildan Activewear Inc.	1.43%	$0.90	28.59%
MRU.TO	Metro Inc.	1.43%	$1.42	30.52%
SIMINN.IC	Síminn hf.	1.43%	$0.21	33.47%
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2270.HK	Desun Real Estate Investment Services Group Co., Ltd.	1.42%	$0.06	41.57%
300294.SZ	China Resources Boya Bio-pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd.	1.42%	$0.32	49.45%
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Financial Statements

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PT Jaya Konstruksi Manggala Pratama Tbk (JKON.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener