DDM Analysis: JBSS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$96.90 - $197.92	$135.72
Multi-Stage	$135.61 - $148.91	$142.13
Blended Fair Value	$138.92
Current Price	$62.97
Upside	120.62%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-18.71%	3.83%	2.08	2.97	4.68	2.94	4.90	5.86	2.48	2.42	4.81	1.92
YoY Growth	-	-	-29.87%	-36.66%	59.07%	-39.90%	-16.41%	136.43%	2.48%	-49.76%	151.11%	34.17%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.30%	3.09%	4.70%	3.85%	6.06%	7.94%	2.57%	3.40%	7.20%	3.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	66.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	17.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)	48.51

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	13.20	8.25	4.95
Cash Retained (M)	48.51	48.51	48.51
(-) Cash Required (M)	-13.20	-8.25	-4.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)	35.31	40.26	43.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	11.73	11.73	11.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.01	3.43	3.71
LTM Dividend per Share	1.49	1.49	1.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.01	3.43	3.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.50	4.92	5.21
WACC / Discount Rate	6.56%	6.56%	6.56%
Growth Rate	1.83%	2.83%	3.83%
Fair Value	$96.90	$135.72	$197.92
Upside / Downside	53.89%	115.52%	214.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	66.00	67.87	69.79	71.76	73.79	75.88	78.16
Payout Ratio	26.50%	39.20%	51.90%	64.60%	77.30%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	17.49	26.61	36.22	46.36	57.04	68.29	72.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.56%	6.56%	6.56%
Growth Rate	1.83%	2.83%	3.83%
Year 1 PV (M)	24.73	24.97	25.21
Year 2 PV (M)	31.28	31.90	32.52
Year 3 PV (M)	37.21	38.31	39.44
Year 4 PV (M)	42.55	44.24	45.99
Year 5 PV (M)	47.34	49.71	52.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,407.46	1,477.94	1,551.21
Equity Value (M)	1,590.56	1,667.07	1,746.55
Shares Outstanding (M)	11.73	11.73	11.73
Fair Value	$135.61	$142.13	$148.91
Upside / Downside	115.35%	125.71%	136.48%

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Financial Statements

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John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. (JBSS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener