Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Green Cross Health Limited (GXH.NZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - PharmaceuticalsSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.49 - $2.16$1.82
Multi-Stage$3.29 - $3.63$3.46
Blended Fair Value$2.64
Current Price$0.86
Upside206.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-2.07%2.64%0.060.340.070.030.010.070.070.040.040.16
YoY Growth---81.50%385.41%133.50%192.47%-85.31%-0.06%86.88%-16.74%-72.19%233.29%
Dividend Yield--8.38%33.64%5.18%2.25%1.00%6.12%7.05%2.33%2.02%6.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)29.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)15.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.923.702.22
Cash Retained (M)15.5415.5415.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.92-3.70-2.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)9.6211.8413.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)143.91143.91143.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.160.180.19
WACC / Discount Rate7.22%7.22%7.22%
Growth Rate-3.44%-2.44%-1.44%
Fair Value$1.49$1.82$2.16
Upside / Downside73.24%111.27%151.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)29.5928.8628.1627.4726.8026.1426.93
Payout Ratio47.49%55.99%64.49%72.99%81.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.0516.1618.1620.0521.8423.5324.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.22%7.22%7.22%
Growth Rate-3.44%-2.44%-1.44%
Year 1 PV (M)14.9215.0715.23
Year 2 PV (M)15.4815.8016.12
Year 3 PV (M)15.7716.2716.77
Year 4 PV (M)15.8616.5317.22
Year 5 PV (M)15.7716.6117.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)396.18417.12438.95
Equity Value (M)473.98497.40521.76
Shares Outstanding (M)143.91143.91143.91
Fair Value$3.29$3.46$3.63
Upside / Downside282.97%301.90%321.58%

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