Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: CopperSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$34.55 - $95.18$53.44
Multi-Stage$23.87 - $26.06$24.95
Blended Fair Value$39.20
Current Price$39.22
Upside-0.06%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.34%-4.03%0.600.600.600.230.050.200.150.000.000.42
YoY Growth--0.23%-0.35%161.63%353.42%-74.91%33.49%10,800.00%-66.67%-99.01%-53.64%
Dividend Yield--1.58%1.26%1.47%0.46%0.15%2.99%1.15%0.01%0.03%4.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,066.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)865.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,201.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)413.20258.25154.95
Cash Retained (M)1,201.001,201.001,201.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-413.20-258.25-154.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)787.80942.751,046.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,444.001,444.001,444.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.550.650.72
LTM Dividend per Share0.600.600.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.550.650.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.141.251.32
WACC / Discount Rate8.99%8.99%8.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$34.55$53.44$95.18
Upside / Downside-11.90%36.27%142.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,066.002,200.292,343.312,495.622,657.842,830.602,915.52
Payout Ratio41.87%51.49%61.12%70.75%80.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)865.001,133.031,432.251,765.592,136.202,547.542,696.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.99%8.99%8.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,029.771,039.531,049.29
Year 2 PV (M)1,183.081,205.621,228.36
Year 3 PV (M)1,325.511,363.561,402.33
Year 4 PV (M)1,457.581,513.631,571.29
Year 5 PV (M)1,579.821,656.131,735.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)27,898.1729,245.6630,644.73
Equity Value (M)34,473.9336,024.1337,631.35
Shares Outstanding (M)1,444.001,444.001,444.00
Fair Value$23.87$24.95$26.06
Upside / Downside-39.13%-36.39%-33.55%

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