Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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American Funds Retirement Income Portfolio - Moderate Class F-1 (FBFWX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.01 - $39.76$29.42
Multi-Stage$40.26 - $44.18$42.18
Blended Fair Value$35.80
Current Price$13.38
Upside167.59%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.08%2.08%1.201.201.010.200.301.201.351.191.191.19
YoY Growth--0.04%19.34%398.51%-32.38%-75.05%-11.68%13.46%0.02%0.15%21.93%
Dividend Yield--9.42%9.92%8.83%1.60%2.41%11.43%12.08%10.84%11.05%11.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,151.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,513.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)637.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)630.20393.88236.33
Cash Retained (M)637.46637.46637.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-630.20-393.88-236.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.26243.59401.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,997.751,997.751,997.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.120.20
LTM Dividend per Share1.261.261.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.120.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.261.381.46
WACC / Discount Rate6.29%6.29%6.29%
Growth Rate0.53%1.53%2.53%
Fair Value$22.01$29.42$39.76
Upside / Downside64.53%119.90%197.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,151.003,199.253,248.233,297.973,348.463,399.733,501.73
Payout Ratio79.77%81.82%83.86%85.91%87.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,513.542,617.482,724.022,833.212,945.103,059.763,239.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.29%6.29%6.29%
Growth Rate0.53%1.53%2.53%
Year 1 PV (M)2,438.252,462.502,486.76
Year 2 PV (M)2,363.742,411.002,458.72
Year 3 PV (M)2,290.142,359.162,429.56
Year 4 PV (M)2,217.572,307.132,399.38
Year 5 PV (M)2,146.142,255.032,368.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)68,980.3372,480.0676,120.42
Equity Value (M)80,436.1784,274.8888,263.12
Shares Outstanding (M)1,997.751,997.751,997.75
Fair Value$40.26$42.18$44.18
Upside / Downside200.92%215.28%230.20%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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