Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 (ENJ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$358.39 - $678.57$635.92
Multi-Stage$103.72 - $113.69$108.61
Blended Fair Value$372.27
Current Price$21.63
Upside1,621.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%33.47%0.280.280.000.000.000.000.050.170.040.02
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-68.47%282.69%139.62%17.95%
Dividend Yield--1.31%1.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.20%0.67%0.18%0.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,511.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,506.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)302.22188.89113.33
Cash Retained (M)1,506.441,506.441,506.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-302.22-188.89-113.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,204.221,317.551,393.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)442.87442.87442.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.722.983.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.722.983.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.732.993.16
WACC / Discount Rate6.30%6.30%6.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$358.39$635.92$678.57
Upside / Downside1,556.92%2,840.00%3,037.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,511.101,609.321,713.931,825.331,943.982,070.342,132.45
Payout Ratio0.31%18.25%36.19%54.12%72.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.66293.65620.19987.931,400.861,863.301,972.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.30%6.30%6.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)273.64276.24278.83
Year 2 PV (M)538.56548.82559.17
Year 3 PV (M)799.45822.40845.79
Year 4 PV (M)1,056.371,097.001,138.78
Year 5 PV (M)1,309.361,372.601,438.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)41,958.3143,984.9146,089.07
Equity Value (M)45,935.6948,101.9650,349.91
Shares Outstanding (M)442.87442.87442.87
Fair Value$103.72$108.61$113.69
Upside / Downside379.53%402.15%425.61%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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