Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Elis S.A. (ELIS.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$104.44 - $456.65$250.13
Multi-Stage$61.56 - $67.40$64.43
Blended Fair Value$157.28
Current Price$24.34
Upside546.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.52%0.00%0.380.230.120.000.000.310.300.190.150.15
YoY Growth--64.18%85.84%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.25%56.67%29.90%-0.20%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.02%1.23%0.90%0.00%0.00%1.65%2.09%0.84%0.93%1.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)614.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)206.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)407.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)122.8076.7546.05
Cash Retained (M)407.60407.60407.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-122.80-76.75-46.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)284.80330.85361.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)265.82265.82265.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.071.241.36
LTM Dividend per Share0.780.780.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.071.241.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.852.022.14
WACC / Discount Rate6.72%6.72%6.72%
Growth Rate4.86%5.86%6.86%
Fair Value$104.44$250.13$456.65
Upside / Downside329.08%927.63%1,776.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)614.00650.00688.11728.46771.17816.39840.88
Payout Ratio33.62%44.89%56.17%67.45%78.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)206.40291.80386.51491.32607.09734.75777.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.72%6.72%6.72%
Growth Rate4.86%5.86%6.86%
Year 1 PV (M)270.85273.43276.01
Year 2 PV (M)332.99339.37345.82
Year 3 PV (M)392.89404.24415.81
Year 4 PV (M)450.61468.05485.98
Year 5 PV (M)506.20530.81556.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,409.5815,109.8815,837.14
Equity Value (M)16,363.1317,125.7817,917.11
Shares Outstanding (M)265.82265.82265.82
Fair Value$61.56$64.43$67.40
Upside / Downside152.91%164.69%176.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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